The New York Giants allowed eight sacks in Week 7.
The Pittsburgh Steelers scored 37 in Week 7 with Russell Wilson’s debut at quarterback.
Giants cornerbacks Cor’Dale Flott and Deonte Banks have allowed a combined five touchdowns this season.
On Monday Night Football in Week 8 of the NFL season, we’ll see the 2-5 New York Giants take on the 5-2 Pittsburgh Steelers at Acrisure Stadium. The Steelers had a big-time win in Week 7 over the New York Jets with Russell Wilson under center, while the Giants scored just three points and surrendered 28 to the Philadelphia Eagles.
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The Steelers are just under a touchdown favorite in this game, and it feels like there should be more.
They put up 37 points in Russell Wilson’s debut against a much better Jets team and have a defense and pass rush that should be able to replicate, or come to close, what the Eagles did in Week 7 which was sack Giants quarterback Daniel Jones seven times and backup Drew Lock once.
The Giants' main weapon on offense is Malik Nabers, a notable favorite in the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, and he had four catches for 41 yards last week and has an even worse matchup here against Steelers cornerback Joey Porter Jr. He allowed just one catch for nine yards last week.
The Giants are without left tackle Andrew Thomas and have allowed 86 pressures this season. That’s more than 12 per game.
Coming off the edge for the Steelers are T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith.
Further, Wilson’s top weapon, George Pickens, will see a lot of action against Giants cornerback Deonte Banks, who’s allowed 26 catches for 371 yards and four touchdowns.
I don’t see how this isn’t a blowout win.
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In taking the under here, this is from the point of view that the Giants will struggle to score points.
It goes back to a lot of what I mentioned above.
The Giants' main weapon has a tough matchup. The offensive line is horrendous, and they're taking on the NFL Defensive Player of the Year favorite. The Steelers are also good against the run.
The Steelers allow 71 yards per game and 3.51 yards per carry. They’ve also only allowed three rushing touchdowns all season.
They also intercept more than one pass per game and have had multiple interceptions in five of seven games.
If the Giants break two touchdowns, I’d be surprised.
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We only have one game of data regarding Pickens with Wilson as his quarterback, and it was a massive success.
He caught five passes on nine targets for 111 yards and a touchdown.
This was his first touchdown of the season, and his 111 yards was two yards shy of his single-game high this season.
As mentioned, he’ll take on Banks, which is allowing more than 65% of passes thrown his way to be caught.
The cornerback on the other side, Cor’Dale Flott, has allowed 77.3% of passes thrown his way to be caught and has allowed one touchdown.
Pickens is in for a great game here.
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The Giants allow nearly 20 carries for more than 105 yards (5.30 yards per carry) this season to opposing running backs.
They’ve allowed three rushing and one receiving touchdowns to the position.
Harris saw a single-game high in rush attempts in Week 7 with 21. He had 102 yards and a touchdown. He’s scored in back-to-back games, and as a favorite at home, he’s in an excellent position to repeat.
I think this will be a multi-score win, and this bodes well for Harris, as the better the lead, the more they’ll run the ball to drain the clock and keep the game moving.
The Steelers offense will perform well here, and Harris has a chance to top his single-game high of 106 rushing yards to increase his odds of being the leader of the NFL rushing yards.
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