Monday Night Football Week 5 SGP: Best Same Game Parlay Bets

• The Chiefs are without wide receiver Rashee Rice. He suffered a knee injury in Week 4. 

• The Chiefs are allowing just 3.12 yards per carry to opposing running backs. No running back has had more than 46 rushing yards this season against them.

• Chiefs wide receiver Xavier Worthy has five carries this season for 39 yards and a touchdown. He’s had carries in three games and, in those, has had at least five rushing yards. 

On Monday Night Football in Week 5 of the NFL season, the 4-0 Kansas City Chiefs are hosting the 2-2 New Orleans Saints. The Saints are 0-2 in their last two games after scoring more than 40 in the season's first two weeks. 

The Chiefs are 4-0 despite quarterback Patrick Mahomes averaging close to 225 passing yards per game and with five interceptions on the year.

Below is a four-leg Same Game Parlay for this game with odds of +850, featuring players like Derek Carr, Alvin Kamara, and Xavier Worthy. All odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook, where you can get your first wager back up to $1,000 if it loses when you use our promo code “WSN1000.” 

Let’s dive in.

Kansas City Chiefs ML (-250) at Caesars Sportsbook

The Chiefs are 5.5-point favorites, and with the way they’ve been playing recently, I’m hesitant to take them there, but I do think they will find a way to win the game.

This has been a theme for the Chiefs this season—finding ways to win. In Week 2, they kicked a field goal as time expired to win, they had a no-call on blatant pass interference in the end zone in Week 3 to secure the win, and in Week 4, they gutted out a 17-10 win on the road against the Chargers.

The Chiefs should be able to move the ball down the field with the pass. The Saints allow 252 passing yards per game, including 299 or more in two games. 

Where I think the Chiefs will finish drives is with the running game. They have a collection of running backs, including Kareem Hunt, Samaje Perine, and Carson Steele. Hunt had the majority of carries in Week 4, averaging nearly five yards per carry. This bodes well, as the Saints allow 5.23 yards per carry. Per game, they’re allowing about 16 carries for 84 yards and allowed two rushing scores in Week 3 against the Eagles. 

The Chiefs are without wide receiver Rashee Rice, so there are fewer options for Mahomes, but the Saints will also need to try to slow down tight end Travis Kelce. The Saints allowed 10 receptions for 170 yards to Eagles tight end Dallas Goedert in Week 3. 

Take the Chiefs' moneyline. If you’re only interested in the spread, I’d lean Saints, but this is a tough game to pick. 

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Alvin Kamara Under 53.5 Rushing Yards (-119) at Caesars Sportsbook

While the Chiefs offense has been up and down, the defense, especially against running backs, has been excellent. This season, they’re allowing 187 carries for 57 yards per game, a mere 3.12 yards per carry. They’ve held two teams to 53 rushing yards or less this season. As for individual backs, none have had more than 46. 

Kamara is averaging 4.5 yards per carry. He’s had 19 carries or more in three of four games this season and has surpassed 54 rushing yards in all of them, but none have been as good against running backs as the Chiefs. 

Kamara was limited in practice to start this week.

I think he’ll find more success in the passing game this week. The Chiefs defensive front, led by defensive tackle Chris Jones, is just too tough to crack. 

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Derek Carr Under 0.5 Interceptions (+106) at Caesars Sportsbook

Carr has thrown an interception in each of the last three games, but he’ll take on a Chiefs defense that has just one all season.

The Chiefs are allowing 70.2% of targets to be caught, and the only interception came from safety Chamarri Conners. 

Of Carr’s attempts, 40% of them are 0-9 yards downfield, where he hasn’t thrown a single interception. Additionally, one of Carr’s interceptions came on a tipped pass in Week 2 against the Dallas Cowboys, so it’s tough to pin that one on him. 

With the Chiefs' injuries, I think this game will stay close enough to where the Saints won’t need to force 50 attempts and a bunch of passes downfield. I expect them to utilize the run as much as they can against this tough front but also use short passes to help move the chains and keep the Chiefs off the field. 

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Xavier Worthy Over 2.5 Rushing Yards (-113) at FanDuel Sportsbook

There aren't a bunch of stats to point to here, but rather a prediction for how the Chiefs will approach the game. 

As mentioned, the Chiefs are without wide receiver Rashee Rice, leaving Worthy as the No. 1 receiver. Here, he’ll likely see a lot of Saints cornerback Marshon Lattimore, which will be a tough matchup for the rookie as Lattimore has allowed just five catches for 56 yards through three games. 

However, Worthy's blazing speed could help the Chiefs move the ball with a depleted receiving corps. 

So, what better way to do so than some reverses with Worthy?

Worthy has five carries on the season. In those games, he’s gone for five or more in each, including a touchdown in Week 1. 

I expect to see some creativity from the Chiefs, and Worthy getting the ball behind the line of scrimmage as a runner could be part of that. 

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