Monday Night Football Prop Bets Week 4: Expect Jared Goff to Continue to Struggle

• The Seattle Seahawks enter week four undefeated at 3-0

• Detroit’s defense ranks above league average in Def EPA per Play

• Jared Goff ranks in the bottom ten in EPA per Play and PFF Grade for all qualified quarterbacks

Even at 2-1, it’s been a roller coaster of a season for the Detroit Lions as their offense continues to struggle. Preseason NFL MVP contender Jared Goff has noticeably taken a step back after last year’s run to the NFC Championship, entering week four ranked near dead last in EPA per Play and PFF Grade for all qualified quarterbacks. With Seattle’s defense excelling at smothering opposing pass attacks, Jared Goff’s struggles with moving the ball down the field through the air are poised to persist.

With Goff underwhelming, the Lions' best course of success falls on their star running-back duo of David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs. Especially when in the red zone, needing to maximize on their scoring opportunities to stay within the Seahawks scoring pace as their defense is expected to regress while dealing with an abundance of injuries. With a hobbled secondary, expect the Seahawks' pass catchers to generate higher-quality passing lanes for Geno Smith to exploit.

As for where to wager on Monday night football’s primetime matchup between the Seattle Seahawks and Detroit Lions, FanDuel Sportsbook has been the front runner for the market as they offer a wide range of props for their users to choose from and at very favorable odds when compared to the rest of the mobile apps. If you have not signed up yet with FanDuel Sportsbook, you can claim $200 in bonus bets after creating an account and making an initial wager of at least $5.

Jared Goff Under 240.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook 

After neglecting to add more offensive production throughout the offseason, the Detroit Lions offense has struggled to recapture last year's success three games into the season. Especially through the air as Jared Goff enters Monday night’s matchup against the Seahawks ranked in the bottom ten in PFF Grade and EPA per Play. Even when playing behind one of the best offensive lines in the league who thrive in pass protection, Goff has still struggled to connect with his thinned-out group of pass catchers at a consistent rate.

With star center Frank Ragnow already declared out, as well as tight end Sam LaPorta being listed as questionable, Goff will find himself under pressure at a heavier rate while Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams deal with extra coverage. Especially with Seattle’s defense playing at an elite rate so far this season, entering the contest ranked well above league average in Def EPA per Play, Defensive Series Conversion Rate, Pass Rush Win Rate, and Pass Rush PFF Grade.

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Jared Goff Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-135) at FanDuel Sportsbook 

While the Seahawks' coverage will already be an issue for Goff to deal with in the middle of the field, the Lions quarterback will find it even harder to exploit their gaps in coverage in the red zone as Seattle gets the benefit of stretching out with less space to defend. With the Lions in desperate need of maximizing their scoring opportunities, calling a heavier dose of the run may be their best course for success. This helps eliminate the variance that comes with throwing into coverage as well as lessen the chance of Goff burning the under on this prop.

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David Montgomery Anytime Touchdown (-115) at FanDuel Sportsbook 

Correlating this prop with the previously mentioned one, David Montgomery should continue to see a healthy dose of carries in the red zone as the Lions' bull back. Even without Ragnow at center, the Lions' offensive line should still thrive with creating holes in the trenches for Montgomery to burst through as Seattle’s front seven ranks league average in Run Defense Win Rate. Be sure to line shop as the odds on an anytime touchdown prop can widely vary with Montgomery to score being listed as low as -115 at FanDuel and as high as -137 at Caesars.

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Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 4.5 Receptions (-154) at FanDuel Sportsbook 

Not only is Detroit’s offense hampered by injuries, but their defense is also dealing with uncertainty as Brian Branch, Ennis Rakestraw Jr, and Ifeatu Melifonwu are all listed as questionable. With a thinned-out back end, we may see Detroit throw help-side coverage at the Seahawks' primary receiver DK Metcalf which opens up space elsewhere for Seattle’s secondary pass catchers to exploit. Against single coverage, expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to consistently create separation from the Lions' coverage while giving Geno Smith higher-quality passing lanes for him to throw to.

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