Monday Night Football Week 10 Prop Bets: Tua and Stafford Set to Duel it Out Through the Air

• Tua Tagovailoa ranks above league average in Quarterback EPA per Play

• The Los Angeles Rams are one game back for first in the NFC West division standings

• The Rams' secondary ranks below league average in Def Pass Success Rate, EPA, and DVOA

It might not be the prettiest game on paper, but Monday night’s matchup between the Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Rams may be one of the more exciting primetime contests this season as both pass attacks are in a position to thrive. Especially when both secondaries have continued to struggle with defending against the pass, entering the contest ranked well below league average in Def Pass Success Rate, EPA, and DVOA.

Not only does Tua Tagovailoa get the benefit of picking apart the Rams secondary, but their running back De’Von Achane is also in store for a big outing as the Rams front seven have struggled to stop the run this season. That bodes well for the Dolphins offense as the Rams defensive line have actually excelled at generating pressure and collapsing the pocket at a high rate, giving Miami a way to counter their middle pressure and stay ahead of the sticks by bouncing Achane to the outside.

As for where to wager on Monday night’s matchup between the Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Rams, BetMGM Sportsbook has been the front runner for the market as they offer a wide range of props for their users to choose from and at very favorable odds. If you have not signed up yet with BetMGM Sportsbook and are looking to get in on the action, you can get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets* should you lose your first wager after creating an account with the WSN promo code WSNSPORTS.

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Matthew Stafford Over 250.5 Passing Yards (-113) at FanDuel Sportsbook 

After spending the first few weeks of the season without their top two receivers due to injury, Matthew Stafford and the Rams' pass attack are expected to elevate their level of play now that Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp are back in the lineup. Their return two weeks ago could not come at a more opportune time as the Rams are just one game back from first in the NFC West division standings and winning the division may be their only way to make the playoffs after a slow start to the season.

Heading into Monday, Stafford will have the opportunity to string together a dominant performance as the Dolphins' secondary enters the contest ranked 20th in Def Pass Success Rate, 25th in Def Pass EPA, and 27th in Def Pass DVOA. Especially when he is expected to play in a clean pocket for a majority of the contest as his offensive line ranks 13th in True Pass Protection Grade while the Dolphins front seven ranks well below league average in Pressure Rate and Def Adjusted Sack Rate.

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Tua Tagovailoa Over 241.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Speaking of underwhelming secondaries, the Los Angeles Rams back end ranks equally as poor in coverage as they enter the contest ranked 22nd or lower in Def Pass Success Rate, EPA, and DVOA. Even with the Rams' front seven ranking top-10 in Adjusted Sack Rate and Pressure Rate, the Dolphins' offense have multiple ways of counteracting their pressure, including quick outs and screens to their preseason Offensive Player of the Year contender Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.

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De’Von Achane Over 57.5 Rushing Yards (-120) at BetMGM Sportsbook 

Another way to counter against the Rams interior pressure is by reverting to the run, bouncing De’Von Achane to the outside and getting his blistering fast speed out into the open field while the Rams' back end is scrambled in coverage. That has been a strength for the Dolphins offense this year when in the middle of the field as their ground game enters the contest ranked 16th overall in Rush Success Rate.

Their league average rank in Rush Success Rate indicates Achane is able to cut the distance to gain in half on first down, as well as convert on later downs. Even in standard downs, the Dolphins offense should still find success on the ground as the Rams front seven ranks 22nd in Def Rush DVOA, 21st in Def Rush Success Rate, and 23rd in Def Adjusted Line Yards. While splitting carries with Raheem Mostert is a cause for concern, Achane has had no issue with making the most of his rush attempts as he is currently averaging 4.5 yards per carry.

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