The Denver Broncos allow 16.8 points per game, which is third-least in the NFL.
The Cleveland Browns have allowed 23 sacks and 164 pressures this season and take on a Broncos team that leads the league in sacks with 44.
Browns quarterback Jameis Winston has thrown for 225 yards or more in three of four games this season. The Broncos allow about 218 passing yards per game.
On Monday Night Football in Week 13 of the NFL season, the 7-5 Denver Broncos will host the 3-8 Cleveland Browns. The Broncos have won two straight while the Browns are coming off a bye week.
The Broncos are 9-3 against the spread, while the Browns are 4-7.
Below is a four-leg Same Game Parlay with odds of +580 for this game, featuring players like Courtland Sutton, Jameis Winston, and more.
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The Browns are coming off a bye; in this game, they’re playing at Mile High against a red-hot Broncos team and, more specifically, quarterback Bo Nix.
Since Week 2, Nix has 16 touchdowns and two interceptions. He’s thrown for 273 yards or more in two of the last three games.
The Broncos defense has allowed two passing touchdowns and has two interceptions over the last three games.
This bodes well against a quarterback like Browns signal-caller Jameis Winston, who’s interception-prone, with three touchdowns and four interceptions over the last three games.
Winston has been incredibly up and down as the Browns starter, and the Broncos defense isn’t to be trifled with.
They also only allow 16.8 points per game (third-least).
A big part of that is that the Broncos have recorded 44 sacks this season, which leads the league.
They should have plenty of opportunities to tee off on Winston. The Browns have allowed 23 sacks this season, and the quarterback has been pressured 164 times.
The matchup to watch for is Broncos edge rusher Nik Bonitto against Browns left tackle Germain Ifedi.
Ifedi has played just 77 pass-blocking snaps this season. He’s allowed a sack and seven pressures.
Winston can potentially have a 300-yard, three-touchdown game, but given how this Broncos team is playing lately, I wouldn’t bank on it.
Take the home team.
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Sutton has been scoring plenty lately, with three touchdowns over the past three games, including two last week against the Las Vegas Raiders.
The Browns allow over one touchdown per game to opposing wide receivers. They’ve given up at least one in all but two games this season. The last time they didn’t allow a touchdown to a wide receiver was in Week 4.
Sutton is far and away from Nix’s No. 1 option in this offense, and he’ll get plenty of targets in this game.
He’ll score again.
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The odds are at -190 by itself, and for good reason: the Browns aren’t productive in the first half of games.
This season, the Browns average seven points per game in the first half, which is tied for the least in the league.
As for the Broncos, they’re 16th at 11.4.
With Winston under center for the Browns, they’ve trailed in three of four games at halftime.
As for the Broncos, they’ve led in the first half seven times in 12 games.
The largest discrepancy between these teams is second-quarter scoring.
The Browns are dead last, averaging 3.7 points per game in the second quarter, while the Broncos are fifth with 8.9.
Take the Broncos in the first half.
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In four starts this season, Wiston has tossed 225 yards or more three times.
The Broncos only surrender 218 passing yards per game, but they’ve given up 225 yards or more in three of the last four games.
Looking at the full season, the Broncos have allowed 225-plus passing yards in half of their games.
The Browns are underdogs here on the road. Winston is averaging 8.1 yards per attempt or more in three of his four starts.
Quarterbacks are averaging about 34 attempts per game against the Broncos. This, coupled with Winston’s willingness to throw downfield a bit, he should clear 225 without much issue.
Take this at -135 to add to your parlay.
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