Monday Night Football Prop Bets Week 14: Expect a Heavy Dose of the Run on Monday Night

• Both the Cincinnati Bengals and Dallas Cowboys are currently out of the playoff picture

• Joe Burrow ranks near the top of the board in quarterback EPA per play and PFF Grade

• The Cowboys' front seven ranks near dead last in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, and Adjusted Line Yards

Even with Joe Burrow playing at an NFL MVP level by ranking near the top of the board in quarterback EPA per play and PFF Grade, his level of production has not been enough for the Cincinnati Bengals to remain competitive. A sad reality for a team that had Super Bowl LIX aspirations, yet their underwhelming defense has put them in high-variance contests for minimal success. At 4-8, the Bengals are four games back from the Denver Broncos for the last wildcard spot with only five games left in the regular season.

Heading into Monday, the Bengals offense will have the opportunity to thrive as the Dallas Cowboys defense have also struggled with playing at a competitive level. Especially in regard to stopping the run as the Cowboys' front seven ranks near dead last across the board in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, and Adjusted Line Yards. That may give Burrow the chance to take a back seat and let Chase Brown do most of the heavy lifting as the Bengals running back is poised for a big game.

As for where to wager on Monday night’s primetime matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Dallas Cowboys, Caesars Sportsbook has been the top choice for the market as they offer an abundance of props for their users to choose from and at very favorable odds. If you have not signed up yet with Caesars Sportsbook, you can make an initial wager of $1 and double your winnings on your next 10 bets with the WSN promo code WSNDYW.

Chase Brown Over 71.5 Rushing Yards (-113) at Caesars Sportsbook

Since getting full-time starting duties after his teammate Zack Moss went down with an injury, Chase Brown has thrived as the Bengals' three-down back as he is averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Heading into Monday night, Brown may be in for a big outing as he gets the opportunity to run wild against a Cowboys front seven who ranks 29th in Def Rush DVOA, 26th in Success Rate, 32nd in EPA, and 30th in Adjusted Line Yards.

The Cowboys' low marks in Success Rate and Adjusted Line Yards are key here as that indicates their defensive line gets pushed back from the opening snap while their front seven struggles to stop opposing running backs from cutting the distance to gain in half on early downs. Even with the Bengals offensive line possessing low marks in Run Block, Brown should face minimal contact in the trenches as the Cowboys will be forced to anchor their linebackers in coverage to try and slow down their pass attack.

Use code WSNDYW and Double Your Winnings at Caesars

Chase Brown Longest Rush Over 17.5 Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook 

With the Cowboys expected to anchor their linebackers at a heavy rate to help mask their low mark in Def Pass DVOA against the vaunted duo of Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, that opens the door for Brown to rip off a massive run with more room to work within the open field. Especially if Burrow and Chase can connect on their deep passes from the start, forcing the Cowboys safeties to shade their coverage deeper down the field which opens up wider rushing lanes for Brown to exploit.

Double Your Winnings at Caesars With a $1 Wager

Rico Dowdle Over 65.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook 

The Cowboys Rico Dowdle may also hear his number called at a higher rate as he gets the benefit of rushing against a weak Bengals front seven. Especially in regard to stopping the run as the Bengals enter the contest ranked well below league average in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, Success Rate. Establishing the run also lets the Cowboys negate the variance that comes with Cooper Rush’s arm as the backup quarterback has struggled mightily since filling in for the injured Dak Prescott.

Join Caesars and Double Your Winnings for the Next 10 Wagers

Rico Dowdle Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+112) at Caesars Sportsbook 

When in scoring territory, the Cowboys may continue to abuse the run in order to avoid the possibility of Rush throwing a back-breaking interception. Especially with the Bengals getting the benefit of being able to stretch out in coverage to cover more ground while in the shortened field. This prop is also a good reminder to always line shop as Caesars Sportsbook is listing Dowdle at +112 to score a touchdown while BetMGM has him at -140. That is a difference of $41 in profit for a flat $100 wager.

Bet $1 at Caesars and Double Your Winnings