Jets vs. Vikings Picks, Predictions & Player Props: Jets Aim to Slow Down Hot Vikings

• The Vikings have only trailed for three minutes and 26 seconds this season.

• The Jets have allowed just two passing touchdowns all season. 

• The Vikings allowed the Packers to score 22 points in the second half in Week 4 while quarterback Jordan Love threw for 389 yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions.

Live from London, we have the Minnesota Vikings and New York Jets squaring off with a 9:30 am ET kickoff. Below are my picks, predictions, and top three player props for this matchup. 

Jets vs. Vikings Odds

Look below for the moneyline, point spread, and total odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets on Jets vs Vikings matchup and claim $200 in bonus bets after depositing $10 and wager $5. 

Jets vs. Vikings Pick

• My Pick: Jets Spread at +2.5 (-102) via FanDuel

The Vikings have only trailed for a whopping three minutes and 26 seconds this season, and that came in Week 1 after a New York Giants field goal. Other than that, they’ve gotten off to hot starts and got the lead against the San Francisco 49ers, Houston Texans, and Green Bay Packers. However, if any defense can slow down this Vikings offense, it’s the Jets. They hold opposing quarterbacks to about 151 passing yards, and they’ve allowed just two passing touchdowns all season. 

Additionally, the Vikings have been lauded all season for their defense, which Brian Flores is the architect of, but if anyone can solve the disguised looks Flores will throw at an opposing offense, it’s Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers.

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Jets vs. Vikings Predictions 

It’s quite a peculiar situation, but it’s not often that, headed into Week 5, we have a team that has trailed for only three minutes and 26 seconds total throughout the year. That’s the case with the Vikings. 

In Week 2, the game between the Vikings and 49ers was close (23-17), but the Vikings still held the lead throughout. Over the last two weeks, though, it’s been even more pronounced, with the Vikings beating the Texans 34-7 and going up 28-7 at halftime against the Packers on the road. 

However, in Week 4 against the Packers, the Vikings had that 28-7 lead, but they allowed 22 points in the second half and only won 31-29. They appeared to take the foot off the gas, and they allowed Packers quarterback Jordan Love to complete 32 of 54 passes for 389 yards, four touchdowns, and yes, they had three interceptions. 

This season, Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold is completing 68.9% of his passes for 932 yards, 11 touchdowns, and three interceptions. He averaged 8.8 yards per attempt. He’s having a fantastic season. 

He’ll have a tough defensive battle here, though. The Jets allow close to 151 passing yards per game, and opposing quarterbacks only have two passing touchdowns during the entire season. For context, the Jets have played Brock Purdy, Will Levis, Jacoby Brissett, and Bo Nix, so there’s certainly a discrepancy between Darnold and the majority of these signal-callers. 

As for running backs, they’re averaging 102 rushing yards per game and 4.6 yards per carry. They held the Titans and Patriots to 82 rushing yards or less. 

It’ll be intriguing to see how Vikings wide receivers Jordan Addison and Justin Jefferson match up with Jets cornerbacks Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed. Gardner has been historically excellent, but this season, he’s allowed seven catches on 10 targets for 106 yards and a touchdown. Reed has allowed just four catches on 11 targets for 26 yards and no touchdowns. 

As for the Jets, they’re averaging just 19 points per game. They scored just nine in Week 4 and allowed 10. The weather was certainly a factor, but there were other issues, especially with false starts. The Jets had 13 penalties for 90 yards. They also allowed five sacks. It looked like an effort issue while dealing with the weather. 

The Vikings are allowing 297 passing yards, 1.5 touchdowns, and two interceptions per game. Rodgers isn’t a player who throws a ton of interceptions historically. He’s 40 years old now, sure, but he’ll come to this game prepared against a Flores-led defense. 

This is the Vikings' toughest test this season. The total is at just 40.5 points, indicating a closer low-scoring game. 

Take the underdog here. 

Jets vs. Vikings Best Player Props

The following prop bets come from Caesars Sportsbook. At Caesars Sportsbook, you can receive $1,000 back on your first bet if it loses when you use promo code WSN1000 during account registration. 

Aaron Rodgers Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+123 at Caesars Sportsbook)

This season, Rodgers has two passing touchdowns in two games. He was held to just 225 passing yards in Week 4, with no touchdowns and no interceptions. He takes on a Vikings defense that allowed 389 yards and four passing touchdowns in Week 4. 

The Vikings have allowed two touchdowns to tight ends. In Week 4 alone, they allowed three to wide receivers. The Vikings have also allowed 194 yards to receivers each week since Week 2. 

Look for Rodgers to limit the turnovers and utilize weapons like Breece Hall out of the backfield and tight end Tyler Conklin. Conklin had five catches for 93 yards in Week 3. 

I’ll take the plus value here. 

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Sam Darnold Under 224.5 Passing Yards (-121 at Caesars Sportsbook)

Darnold has been excellent this season, but he has two games where he went under this number. This came in Week 1 (208) and Week 3 (181). He had 275 in Week 4 and 268 in Week 2. The Jets haven’t exactly faced a stellar collection of quarterbacks, but Purdy had 231 in Week 1. 

Here, I think we see more of the Vikings running game. The Jets allow 4.6 yards per carry to opposing running backs and have allowed 4.73 yards per carry to the position in three of four games. 

Darnold going under this line isn’t an indictment of predicting the Vikigns will be bad offensively; it’s just predicting the offense will go in a different direction, given where the Jets have shown weakness. 

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Aaron Jones Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Caesars Sportsbook)

As mentioned, the Jets have been fairly weak against the run. Opponents also run 28 times per game against the Jets (23rd), including 33 times on the road. 

Looking at individual running backs, the Jets have allowed two backs to reach 63 rushing yards, and in Week 2, Titans running back Tony Pollard had 62. 

Jones is averaging 16 rush attempts per game and has 93 or more yards in three games this season. If he simply manages to average what the Jets allow—4.6 yards per carry—he’ll finish with about 74 yards with his per-game carry average. 

This season, Jones has 64 carries for 321 yards and averages five yards per carry. 

Look for the Vikings to run him early and often in this one. 

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Jets vs. Vikings: How to Watch

• When: Sunday, October 6 at 9:30 AM ET

• Where: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

• Where to Watch: NFL Network

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Jets vs. Vikings Injuries

• Jets offensive tackle Morgan Moses is questionable with a leg injury. 

• Jets linebacker C.J. Mosley is questionable with a leg injury. 

• Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers mentioned his knee was swollen on The Pat McAfee Show. 

• Vikings linebacker Ivan Pace Jr. is questionable for Week 5 with an ankle injury, but has a chance to return this week.