Russell Wilson is expected to make his first start of the season since joining Pittsburgh
The New York Jets traded for the Las Vegas Raiders star wide receiver Davante Adams
The Jets offense ranks below league average in Off DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate
After losing four of their first six games, the New York Jets made a desperate attempt to salvage their playoff hopes by making a trade for the Las Vegas Raiders star wide receiver Davante Adams. Speaking of new faces, Russell Wilson is expected to make his first start of the season since joining the Steelers, yet no confirmation has been made for who will get the starting nod between him and Justin Fields.
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Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
New York Jets | -2 (-110) | -135 | Over 38 (-110) |
Pittsburgh Steelers | +2 (-110) | +115 | Under 38 (-110) |
My Pick: New York Jets -2 (-110) at BetMGM
With Davante Adams playing opposite side of Garrett Wilson, the Steelers reeling secondary will be under constant stress while stretched out in coverage. That bodes well for the Jets pass attack who have struggled with generating consistent production, entering the contest ranked well below league average in Off Pass Success Rate, EPA, and DVOA. Factor in their own defense getting the benefit of defending against an anemic Pittsburgh offense and the Jets boast more than enough advantages to get back in the win column.
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While the Jets' pass attack may receive an uptick in production with Adams being readily available, their ground game is poised to struggle as the Steelers' front seven has excelled at stuffing the run. Even with the Steelers linebackers anchoring in coverage at a heavy rate, their front line has managed to rank near the top of the board in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate. The Jets front seven meanwhile find themselves on the opposite end of the spectrum, ranking near dead last in the same run-stopping metrics which opens the door for the Steelers' Najee Harris to have a big game.
With opposing defenses throwing heavier coverage at the Jets' only productive pass catcher, Aaron Rodgers has been forced to throw into tight passing lanes for minimal success. That has led to an uptick in danger-worthy throws, resulting in five interceptions in six games played. With Davante Adams commanding defensive attention away from Garrett Wilson, Rodgers should be able to limit the chance of a turnover with higher-quality passing lanes as his star receivers pick apart the Steelers' gaps in coverage.
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It’s been a rough start to the year for Breece Hall after coming into the season listed as one of the betting favorites for the Offensive Player of the Year award. Even with Davante Adams now in the lineup to help command defensive attention, generating rush production will be a struggle for the Jets running back as he faces off against one of the best run-stopping units in the league. Especially when his own offensive line has continued to underwhelm in their efforts of giving him high-quality running lanes, entering the contest ranked near dead last in Adjusted Line Yards.
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While the Jets ground game is expected to stall out, Najee Harris and the Steelers' rush attack are in a position to thrive as the Jets' front seven has struggled with stopping the run this season. With a lack of pressure in the trenches, opposing running backs have had no issue with getting to the second level of their defense as their low marks in Def Adjusted Line Yards and Def Rush Success Rate indicates. Factor in the uncertainty looming at quarterback, and Najee may receive an uptick in carries to help clear this as well.
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When: Sunday, October 20 at 8:20 PM ET
Where: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Where to Watch: NBC
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TE Tyler Conklin - Questionable
OT Morgan Moses - Questionable
DE Will McDonald IV - Questionable
DB DJ Reed - Questionable
DB Michael Carter II - Questionable
RB Najee Harris - Questionable
C Zach Frazier - Out
LB Alex Highsmith - Questionable
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