The Giants allow over 160 rushing yards per game.
While the Browns have cornerback Denzel Ward, he’s questionable this week and only lines up on one side of the field. This could open up more opportunities than expected for wide receiver Malik Nabers.
The Giants offensive line has allowed just two sacks this season, which bodes well against an ailing Browns defensive end, Myles Garrett.
The Cleveland Browns are hosting the New York Giants in Week 3 as the Giants face an 0-3 start. Below are the odds for this game, my pick, predictions, and best player props.
Look below for the moneyline, point spread, and total odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Using our exclusive FanDuel link, you can receive $200 in bonus bets.
Team | Moneyline | Point Spread | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Giants | +245 | +6.5 (-110) | Over 38.5 (-108) |
Browns | -300 | -6.5 (-110) | Under 38.5 (-112) |
While this is a tough game to call because of how inept each offense is, the Browns should come out ahead, but not by 6.5 points. While the Browns have Myles Garrett coming off the edge, the Giants pass blocking has been solid this season, led by left tackle Andrew Thomas. Based on the production I've seen from him, I cannot lay 6.5 points with a Deshaun Watson-led offense.
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The Giants are a team that’s been pulverized this season. In Week 2, they had a chance to beat the Washington Commanders, but because they had no kicker, they were forced to go for two-point tries and couldn’t kick field goals. The Giants would’ve scored three more points based on extra points alone. That’s terrible mismanagement by head coach Brian Daboll, especially when they knew kicker Graham Gano had a groin injury heading into the game.
Either way, the Giants offense looked OK in Week 2. Quarterback Daniel Jones completed 16 of 28 passes for 178 and two touchdowns while running back Devin Singletary had 16 carries for 95 yards and a score. Wide receiver Malik Nabers had a massive showing, catching 10 balls for 127 yards and a score. So far this season, the Giants offensive line has allowed just two sacks on 19 pressures, and Thomas, as left tackle, has been excellent to start the season.
As for the Browns, they scored 17 in Week 1 and 18 in Week 2. They have an excellent defense with Garrett off the edge and Denzel Ward in coverage, but they’re both questionable. The defense has generated 24 pressures and seven sacks, while the secondary has nine pass breakups and has allowed a mere 55.9% reception percentage. However, the offense is lacking in the passing department. Watson leads the league in dropbacks but is 28th in completion percentage (58.2%), 24th in passing yards (355), and has just one passing touchdown.
The Browns can run on the Giants here as the Giants allow 163 per game, but also keep in mind that, in Week 2, 44 yards came from Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels.
Again, I think the Browns win here at home, but the Giants hang in there because of the poor passing attack from the Browns. I’m looking forward to Thomas going up against Garrett. As for Ward and Nabers, Ward only plays on the left side, so expect the Giants to keep Nabers mostly on the other side to match up with Martin Emerson Jr. Also don’t forget that the Giants have a defensive monster on their side, too, with Dexter Lawrence. He’ll give Joel Bitonio and Ethan Pocic issues all afternoon long.
Browns win 20-17.
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The Giants allow 163 rushing yards per game. While 44 of those in Week 2 were to the opposing quarterback, they still allowed 171 yards on 25 carries to opposing running backs (6.84 yards per carry). This is the Browns' best shot at scoring, and while Ford was out-carried by D’Onta Foreman in Week 2, Ford had 16 more yards than Foreman on seven fewer tries. Look for him to get the ball more here against a soft-run defense.
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I’m going back to the well with Nabers here, but I think this could be a good matchup for him. Yes, the Browns have Ward, who’s a fantastic cornerback, but he only lines up as the left cornerback. As for Nabers, he can move around, so I’d assume, with the Giants knowing that they line him up primarily away from Ward. On the other side is Emerson Jr., who’s already allowed seven catches on 12 targets for 75 yards and a touchdown this season. Nabers will receive double-digit targets once again.
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Player props are hard to come by for this game outside of Any Time TDs. While the odds here don’t present much value, my only rationale for taking the over would be that the odds present a value at +159. However, I cannot recommend Watson will do that. He has more interceptions than touchdowns to start the year, and in 14 career starts for Cleveland, he has just four games with two passing touchdowns or more. Now, if you want to pivot to the over for total team passing touchdowns, I could see that more as that would indicate there’s a chance that Jameis Winston relieves an under-performing Watson.
I don’t think Watson has it in him, and his receivers have been unreliable, with eight drops on 72 targets.
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When: Sunday, September 22 at 1 PM ET
Where: Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, Ohio
Where to Watch: FOX
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Giants kicker Graham Gano placed on injured reserve with a hamstring injury.
Giants return man/wide receiver Gunner Olszewski placed on injured reserve with a groin injury.
Browns wide receiver David Bell placed on injured reserve with a hip injury.
Browns offensive tackles Jack Conklin and Jedrick Wills Jr. are questionable to play.
Browns tight end David Njoku is questionable.
Browns defensive end Myles Garrett is questionable with a foot injury that doesn’t “feel good,” but plans to play through it.
Browns cornerback Denzel Ward is questionable after being limited in Week 2.
Sunday Night Football Week 3 Picks
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