The Falcons have allowed just two rushing touchdowns this season to opposing running backs.
Cowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb has 14 targets or more in each of the last two games.
The Falcons have scored 31 points or more in three of the last four games.
The Atlanta Falcons are hosting the Dallas Cowboys in Week 9. The Cowboys are 3-4, while the Falcons are 5-3. Below are the odds for this game, my pick, predictions, and best player props.
Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook. Create an account at FanDuel and make an initial wager of at least to claim $150 in bonus bets.
FanDuel Moneyline | FanDuel Point Spread | FanDuel Totals |
---|---|---|
Cowboys: +128 | Cowboys: +2.5 (-105) | Over 51.5: -115 |
Falcons: -152 | Falcons: -2.5 (-115) | Under 51.5: -105 |
The Cowboys allow more than one rushing touchdown per game to opposing running backs and have allowed multiple touchdown passes in two of the last three games.
The Falcons have scored 31 points or more in three of the last four games, while the Cowboys are 0-2 in their last two games and have allowed an average of 38.5 points in those games.
The Cowboys are floundering while the Falcons offense appears to be clicking.
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As mentioned, the Falcons offense has been rolling lately, scoring 31 points or more in three of the last four games.
They put up 31 in Week 8 on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The weak point for the Cowboys defense lately has bee nthe run defense. Over the last two games, they’ve allowed 54 carries for 282 yards (5.22 yards per carry) and three rushing touchdowns. They faced the Detroit Lions and San Francisco 49ers in that stretch.
Falcons running back Bijan Robinson has three rushing touchdowns over the past three games and has 95 rushing yards or more in two of the last three games.
The Falcons have Tyler Allgeier to complement him. He’s averaged 5.8 yards per carry or more in two of his last three games.
In Week 8, Falcons quarterback Kirk Cousins had 276 passing yards and four touchdown passes.
The Falcons are last in the league in sacks with six.
However, I think the Falcons could come away with some interceptions here. They’ve picked off multiple passes in two of the last three games, and Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott has thrown two interceptions in three straight games.
The Cowboys rushing attack is far from sensational this season, but the Falcons have allowed just two rushing touchdowns all season to opposing running backs.
Look for the Falcons defense to come up strong here while the offense continues to click like it has in three of the last four games.
I’ll kick off the player prop section with a bit of a layup with Robinson’s odds of -175 to score a touchdown.
Robinson has four rushing touchdowns and one receiving touchdown this season, with three rushing touchdowns over the last three games and a receiving touchdown in Week 8.
This comes as the Cowboys have allowed 113 rushing yards or more in the last two games and have allowed three rushing touchdowns over the past two games.
The only downfall of Robinson is he doesn’t get as many touches as I’d like. He’s had 15 or fewer carries in three of the last four games, but he has been making up for it in receptions, including seven in Week 8.
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The Cowboys offense has been up and down, but Lamb has been the only consistent and constant option in this offense. He has 14 targets or more in the last two games.
In Week 8, he scored twice and caught 13 passes on 17 targets for 146 yards.
Those two touchdowns were Lamb’s first scores since Sept. 26 against the New York Giants.
However, the Falcons have allowed six touchdowns to opposing wide receivers over the past four games.
In Week 8, the Falcons didn’t allow one to a wide receiver, but they also faced the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who have several injuries, including to wide receivers Chris Godwin and Mike Evans.
Lamb gets plenty of volume, and this is a road game in a dome, where the Cowboys are underdogs.
Get ready for double-digit targets and a touchdown.
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Getting +100 odds, I’m willing to roll the dice on Prescott, getting 38 attempts or more.
In road games this season, he’s averaging 34.75 attempts per game. Over his last two road games, he’s had 38 or more in both of them.
Finally, looking across the entire season, he averages 37.4 attempts per game.
This season, opposing quarterbacks average 33.5 pass attempts per game, but they’ve thrown 38 passes or more in two of the last three games.
In addition to all of this, I think Prescott reaches 40 pass attempts because of how stout they’ve been against the run.
Yes, they’re allowing 4.3 yards per carry and more than 93 rushing yards, but they don’t allow rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs. They’ve allowed just two all season.
However, they do allow nearly six receptions for 31 yards per game to the position.
Look for Prescott to utilize the running backs in the passing game more here, in addition to peppering Lamb with targets.
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When: Sunday, Nov. 3 at 1 PM ET
Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch: FOX
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Falcons safety Justin Simmons is questionable.
Falcons linebacker Troy Andersen is questionable with a knee injury.
Falcons defensive tackle Ruke Orhorhoro is questionable with an ankle injury.
Cowboys linebacker Micah Parson is questionable.
Cowboys running back Rico Dowdle is questionable.
Cowboys cornerback Caelen Carson is questionable.
Cowboys cornerback Amani Oruwariye is questionable with a back injury.
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