Eagles vs. Chiefs Super Bowl Predictions: Chiefs Fall Just Short of Winning Three in a Row

• The Kansas City Chiefs have won the last two Super Bowls in a row

• Philadelphia’s Saquon Barkley is expected to win the Offensive Player of the Year award

• The Chiefs' secondary ranks 17th overall in Def Pass DVOA and Def Pass Success Rate

In their quest of winning three straight Super Bowls, Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs offense face their toughest test of the season as the Philadelphia Eagles enter the contest ranked first overall in Def DVOA. With no glaring weakness at any level of the field, the Eagles will have the opportunity to consistently slow down Mahomes while giving their own offense an uptick in possessions to increase their chances of winning.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl Odds

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Kansas City Chiefs Team Total Under 24.5 (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After the Eagles' defense collapsed at the end of last year, their ownership spent the offseason retooling that side of the field to help turn them back into a well-rounded contender.

Not only have the Eagles defense managed to round back into form, but they are arguably the best unit in the league as they head into the Super Bowl ranked first in Def DVOA and third in Def EPA. Their revamped secondary has played a major role in their success as their back end ranks top-3 in Def Pass DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate.

Their suffocating coverage will make it tough for Patrick Mahomes to generate pass production, leaving the Chiefs prone to early outs and stalled out drives.

Especially with their linebackers anchored in coverage as the Eagles' extra bodies across the middle will drastically lessen the quality of Mahomes passing lanes. Factor in the Eagles' offense calling a heavy dose of the run to help control the time of possession and the Chiefs will have fewer opportunities to get into scoring position.

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Philadelphia Eagles Moneyline (+106) at FanDuel Sportsbook

While the Eagles' secondary has thrived, the Chiefs' back end has underwhelmed as they head into Sunday ranked 17th in Def Pass DVOA, 15th in EPA, and 17th in Success Rate.

Their heavy use of the blitz leaves their corners on islands, creating gaps in the middle when they are unable to get to the quarterback. Even though the Eagles' offensive line grades out poorly in Pass Protection, the duo of AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith are capable of creating space from any single coverage they may receive.

Saquon Barkley roaming in the backfield also makes it tough for the Chiefs' defense to take their foot off the pedal as they will need to send extra bodies down the line to help slow down the star running back. If the Chiefs do spread out their linebackers to help mask their poor marks in coverage instead of stacking the box, then Barkley will be in a great position to churn out sizable gains with each carry. With clear advantages on both sides of the ball, back the Eagles to win the Super Bowl.

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Eagles ML / Saquon Barkley 2+ Touchdowns SGP (+720) at BetMGM Sportsbook 

Since the start of the playoffs, Saquon Barkley has been able to sustain his high level of play as the projected winner for the Offensive Player of the Year award has scored five rushing touchdowns while averaging 147.3 yards per game and 6.7 yards per carry.

With the Chiefs defensive line ranking just league average in Def Adjusted Line Yards, Barkley will find himself with plenty of high-quality rushing lanes in the trenches for him to exploit.

His usage when the Eagles' offense are inside the 20 also puts him in a great position to score multiple touchdowns as he comfortably leads the team in red zone carries while rivaling AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert in targets.

Instead of betting on Barkley to win the Super Bowl MVP at his short odds, build this correlated same game parlay as the star running back will need to put together a dominant performance to edge out his own quarterback in the voting.

Follow our link to find the best Saquon Barkley Super Bowl prop bets.

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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs How to Watch

• When: Sunday, February 9 at 6:30 PM ET

• Where: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

• How to Watch: Fox, Tubi, NFL+

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs Best Promos and Sportsbooks

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