Commanders vs. Eagles TNF Picks, Predictions & Player Props: Battle for the NFC East Lead

• The Commanders beat the then-undefeated Eagles on MNF in 2022

• Philly won five straight games

• This is the first time these teams will meet this year

The Washington Commanders are hoping to reclaim the NFC East lead on Thursday Night Football when they visit the winners of five straight games, the Philadelphia Eagles.

With such an important divisional matchup approaching, we’ve taken the liberty of analyzing the matchup and finding our best game and player prop betting picks. 

Commanders vs. Eagles Odds 

Odds for the Commanders vs Eagles TNF matchup are taken from FanDuel Sportsbook. Head over to FanDuel and claim $150 in bonus bets with a winning $5 wager.

Commanders vs. Eagles Predictions 

The story of the Commanders’ season is the remarkable rookie campaign of QB Jayden Daniels. While his numbers haven’t been amazing as of late, his performances still have been—however, he’s been let down by his teammates in numerous spots.

Whether it be players dropping passes or the defense failing to make stops in key positions, the team could reasonably be 8-2 or even 9-1. Injuries to players such as running back Brian Robinson Jr. and newcomer Marshon Lattimore also greatly impacted Washington’s game plan and the final result last week during their loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. 

The Commanders have only beaten one team with a winning record (the Arizona Cardinals) thus far. That said, they’re a physical and resilient team and played the Baltimore Ravens and Steelers to one-score losses. They have concerns in the secondary and are fairly one-dimensional when Robinson Jr. doesn’t play, but Daniels, Terry McLaurin, and an improved front seven make them a dangerous team nonetheless.

The Eagles started the year lethargic and disjointed, much like they were at the end of last year when they lost six of their final seven games. They turned their season around after the bye week and are now riding a five-game win streak, having just thumped the Dallas Cowboys 34-6 on the road.

Saquon Barkley’s dominance on the ground opened up deep passing lanes for Jalen Hurts, who has been great pushing the ball down the field and who only threw one interception in his last six games.

Philly’s young secondary has also made headlines, and for great reason. Quinyon Mitchell is on his way to being a star cornerback, while Cooper DeJean is also having an excellent rookie season. The team ranks fifth in points allowed per game (17.9) and first in both defensive EPA per play and success rate since the bye week.

Commanders vs. Eagles: My Pick

• My Pick: Eagles Spread at -3.5 (-115) at FanDuel

It’s tough for the road team to get a win against a divisional opponent on a short week of rest. It’s even harder when that team is led by a rookie quarterback who has never visited his opponent’s hostile environment, and who could be missing his best running back and cornerback.

Washington has a clear path to cover and win this game simply because of how innovative and efficient their offense has been combined with improved individual performances from several members of the defense. That said, Philly is hot, has the benefit of playing at home, and is healthier, which makes them the safer option.

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Commanders vs. Eagles Best Player Props

Jayden Daniels Over 226.5 Passing Yards (-113) at FanDuel

Daniels showed last week that he’s totally fine with hanging around in the pocket, only running the ball three times. He only managed 202 passing yards but was the victim of numerous dropped passes that should have been and usually are caught.

The star rookie went over this line five straight times (excluding the Carolina Panthers game he left after one series) until his last two outings. Philly doesn’t get after the quarterback all that well and will force Washington to score points with their offense, meaning Daniels should be able to rack up enough passing yards to cash this Commanders vs. Eagles player prop. 

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Saquon Barkley Over 92.5 Rushing Yards (-113) at FanDuel

The Commanders really struggle to stop the run. They’re 27th in defensive rush EPA per play, 28th in yards allowed per rush attempt, and gave up 132 yards the last time they faced a truly elite running back (Derrick Henry of the Baltimore Ravens).

Barkley recorded three straight games of at least 100 yards rushing until he played the Cowboys and only ran the ball 14 times for 66 yards, largely because he came out of the blowout win early. Philly is committed to running the ball and won’t hesitate to continue that against a weak run defense.

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Jalen Hurts Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-110) at FanDuel

Hurts scored at least one rushing touchdown in four straight games (and at least two in three of those). The Eagles didn’t run the Tush Push an awful lot at the beginning of the year, but it’s back in their repertoire, and he’s made the most of it.

Philly is going to get the ball into the red zone. Hurts is close to inevitable as a touchdown scorer any time they get inside the five-yard line, and these odds are very attractive all things considered. 

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Commanders vs. Eagles How to Watch

• When: Thursday, Nov. 14 at 8:15 p.m. ET

• Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA

• Where to Watch: Amazon Prime Video

Commanders vs. Eagles Best Promos and Sportsbooks

Bettors can find Commanders vs. Eagles odds on all of the major NFL betting sites.

Caesars Sportsbook has the best odds for Commanders' bettors, as they’re +3.5 (-105) underdogs. Meanwhile, Eagles bettors will find the best deal at BetMGM and FanDuel, where they’re -3.5 (-105).

TNF FanDuel Promo Code for the Eagles vs Commanders game is currently active and available to all new FanDuel users.

We have listed more NFL betting promos in the table below, so take a look.

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Commanders vs. Eagles Injuries

Washington Commanders

• Marshon Lattimore (CB) - Questionable (hamstring)

• Brian Robinson Jr. (RB) - Questionable (hamstring)

• Austin Seibert (K) - Questionable (hip)

• Cornelius Lucas (OT) - Questionable

• Andrew Wylie (OT) - Questionable (shoulder)

Philadelphia Eagles

• Nakobe Dean (LB) - Questionable (groin)

• DeVonta Smith (WR) - Questionable (hamstring)

• Dallas Godert (TE) - Questionable (ankle)

• Darius Slay Jr. (CB) - Questionable (ankle)

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