Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars Predictions, Odds & Picks

• The 7-3 Browns are figuring out how to win the games they are predicted to win
• It could be a game-time decision as to who will be the Week 12 Jaguars starting QB
• The two last played each other during the 2017 season, final score JAC 19 – CLE 7

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Browns vs Jaguars Predictions and Picks

The evolving offense of Cleveland Browns should be able to outscore by at least a touchdown this one-win Jaguars team whose offense only scores an average of 20 points per game.

Pick:

Browns -6.5 (-110)

How to Watch Browns vs Jaguars

Quarterback Baker Mayfield and his evolving offense will travel to Florida and finally get a chance to play in decent weather after spending the last two weeks battling the wind and rain at home, but despite that, the 7-3 Cleveland Browns are figuring out how to win the games they are predicted to win, and this Week 12 battle with the 1-win Jaguars could be another example.

The Jacksonville Jaguars led the undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers 3-0 after the first quarter of their Week 11 matchup, but then the Jags defense let the Steelers score 27 unanswered points which ended the game at 3-27, with Jacksonville’s rookie backup QB Jake Luton losing his temporary starting role after having been sacked twice while throwing four interceptions in the team’s ninth defeat.

These two AFC teams have played each other 17 prior times, with the Jacksonville Jaguars winning 12 of those games and the Cleveland Browns winning 5 of the games.

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Can the Browns Defensive Line Be Effective Without Garrett?

Arguably the best player on the Cleveland Browns is defensive end Myles Garrett, who so far this season has been a beast of a pass rusher, leading the league both in sacks with 9.5 and forced fumbles with 4, and his 2 fumble recoveries and 31 combined tackles are icing on that scary cake.

Garrett is out due to COVID, so it is unknown when the man who has 14 quarterback hits and 7 tackles for the loss will return, but it does not look like that will be in Week 12, so the job of putting the fear of sack in the Jaguars heads now goes to a few other key players.

One of those is defensive end Olivier Vernon, who had himself a monster Week 11 in the team’s win over the Eagles, and that kind of production in a single game – 3 sacks, 3 QB hits, 5 combined tackles with 3 for a loss, a safety and a pass defended – is what will make Garrett’s absence go much smoother for the Browns.

Can the Jaguars Defense Hold Back the Browns?

The Cleveland Browns can attack you both on the ground and through the air, so the Jaguars need to be solid on both accounts, and that is despite ranking low in the league in each of those categories.

Jacksonville’s 30th ranked defense is ranked 29th against the pass and 24th against the run and they give up, on average, almost 30 points per game, so this is going to be a particularly painful home outing for them against a team that has the 3rd best rushing attack but who are ranked 30th when passing the ball.

A huge key to victory will be to neutralize Browns QB Baker Mayfield’s arm and then at least limit the damage that Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt can do, but that’s easier said than done, the Browns averaging almost 157 yards on the ground per game up to this point.

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Browns Key Player: (RB) Nick Chubb

After sitting out for five weeks with a knee (MCL) situation, Brown’s star running back Nick Chubb has been back for two games and his 20 carries per game in those outings helped the browns solidify two of their seven wins.

Chubb is a unique runner who is both patient and aggressive at the same time, almost impossible to take down one-on-one, and the type of runner that seems to always fall forward for at least a few extra yards at the end of every carry.

As powerful a dual-weapon force as his backfield partner Kareem Hunt is (he’s currently the ninth most productive rusher in the league), having Chubb in the lineup makes defenses have to game plan differently because his effectiveness makes everything else the Browns do, like play-action and the RPO, even better.

Jaguars Key Player: (QB) Mike Glennon

After an uninspired outing and loss, last weekend by rookie QB Jake Luton that included 4 interceptions and a miserable passer rating of 15.5, Jags head coach Doug Marrone has decided to give veteran backup quarterback Mike Glennon the starting role in Week 12.

Glennon, a 6’ 7” 225-pound quarterback in his sixth NFL season, has not got any regular playing time this year and only played in two games for the Raiders (in Oakland) all of last season, the former North Carolina State hurler with a 60.9 career completion percentage.

In his sixth NFL season, Glennon has a 6-16 record while starting 22 games for four other teams, so nobody is expecting him to suddenly be excellent, but until starter Gardner Minshew’s thumb injury heals, he could be their best bet under center.

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