Kansas City looks to avenge a loss to the Bills in Week 11
The Chiefs are 4-5-1 against the spread in 2024
Carolina has won two straight games
The Chiefs travel to Carolina to take on the Panthers and are favored by two scores. Kansas City has not been good against the spread over the past few seasons, but this is a very favorable matchup.
The Panthers are 3-7 but have been playing their best football in 2024. They are led by running back Chuba Hubbard, who is having an outstanding season, but he will have a big challenge against the Chiefs.
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Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Kansas City Chiefs | -11 (-108) | -650 | Over 42.5 (-112) |
Carolina Panthers | +11 (-112) | +470 | Under 42.5 (-108) |
The Chiefs are coming off a loss to Buffalo, and the public will be backing them heavily against the Panthers. Carolina is 3-7 against the spread in 2024.
The Chiefs are 9-1 but have never been a great team against the spread. They have been finding a way to win close games with excellent quarterback play from Patrick Mahomes, but this doesn’t result in covers.
Carolina can cover this high number if they can continue playing competitive football. If they limit their turnovers, they should be within the margin.
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Kansas City is in first place in the AFC West at 9-1 and has the second shortest odds to win the Super Bowl. Patrick Mahomes is currently +1200 to win the MVP at FanDuel sportsbook.
The Panthers are 3-7 in last place in the NFC South. They will have their hands full in a matchup with the defending Super Bowl champions.
In games like these, Kansas City tends to play down to competition, so we are backing Bryce Young and the Panthers.
Chuba Hubbard has been terrific in 2024, rushing for 818 yards with six touchdowns. Hubbard is also a threat out of the backfield and can break out big runs without a lot to work with offensively.
Bryce Young is not the greatest quarterback in the world, but if he takes care of the football, the Panthers will cover this number.
The Chiefs have not been known for running up the score, as they are due for a couple of turnovers a game. We see the Chiefs coming out on top in an ugly game but struggling to cover the spread.
Hubbard is the best threat the Panthers have on offense, and they do a great job of putting him in the correct positions. His contract was extended by four years a couple of weeks ago, and he has delivered.
Carolina doesn’t have many offensive options, especially in the red zone. Hubbard will be the focus, and we see him succeeding against Kansas City. Hubbard’s ability to make defenders miss in open space is outstanding, and this should show on Sunday.
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Kareem Hunt has been a great addition to the Kansas City offense with the injury of Isiah Pacheco. With Pacheco’s return being unknown this week, we think Hunt will control most of the snaps.
Hunt has 509 yards on the ground with five touchdowns in 2024. He also catches many balls out of the backfield, as he had seven receptions against the Broncos two weeks ago.
With Hunt’s increased role in this offense, we like him to score a touchdown against Carolina.
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Travis Kelce has had a very inconsistent season in 2024, but he is one of the best to play the position. In a game that the Chiefs should lead, Andy Reid will dial up plays for Kelce in the red zone to build some confidence.
Kelce has 62 receptions for 507 yards with two touchdowns this season. It’s only a matter of time before Kelce puts together a few breakout games, and this is the perfect spot for him to do that against Carolina.
We expect Mahomes to be looking for Kelce against a bad Carolina secondary. Look for him to build momentum in this game by finding the end zone.
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When: Sunday, November 24, 2024 @ 1:00 PM EST
Where: Bank Of America Stadium
Where to Watch: CBS
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Chiefs Harrison Butker K - I-R
Chiefs Isiah Pacheco RB - IR-R
Panthers Adam Thielen WR - Questionable
Panthers Miles Sanders RB - Doubtful
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