Chiefs Moneyline
The Chiefs might not be as dominant through the air as they have been in the past, but they give up the third-fewest points per game and are comfortably one of the best teams in the league. Their losses are also against the Detroit Lions, Denver Broncos, and Philadelphia Eagles, two of which are significantly better than the Packers and one of which is a divisional opponent. They’re familiar with the primetime stage and should walk out with a win.
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Isiah Pacheco Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Pacheco runs like he’s angry at the ground but is a trusted member of the offense. He rarely cracks 100 yards, but he scored two touchdowns on the ground last week and is in a strong position to capitalize on a Packers defense that is 20th in rushing touchdowns and 27th in rushing yards allowed per game.
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Rashee Rice Over 47.5 Receiving Yards
Rice, a rookie from SMU, was flying under the radar until the best game of his young career a week ago. He hauled in eight catches for 107 yards and a touchdown in a 31-17 win against the Las Vegas Raiders and now seems as if he can be the solution to the missing downfield threat in the passing offense. Green Bay has done a nice job defending the pass but also hasn’t played many quality quarterbacks, so this could prove to be a reversal in fortune for them.
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Jordan Love Over 14.5 Rushing Yards
Love isn’t a running quarterback but is more than willing to make plays with his legs. He ran for more than 14.5 yards in six of 11 games and scrambled three times for 39 yards last week. The Chiefs also rank fourth in sacks per game, meaning they get after the quarterback, which will in turn force Love to scramble out of the pocket and pick up rushing yards.
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Over 34.5 Points
Primetime unders have been a hit all year, especially on SNF. However, we moved the line down to account for that precedent and are also accounting for common outcomes such as 21-14 and 20-17. Both offenses have the potential to put lots of points on the board, so we feel comfortable with an alternate over.
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