Odds taken from Caesars Sportsbook. Click on the links below to head to the sportsbook and place your bet.
Team | Point Spread | Points Total | Money Line |
Kansas City Chiefs | PICK (-110) | O46 (-110) | -110 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | PICK (-110) | U46 (-110) | -110 |
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The oddsmakers are calling this one even meaning neither team gets the advantage of a point spread since the KC Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are playing at about the same level, so we take Kansas City to win in Week 4.
The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off a shocking Week 3 loss to the Indianapolis Colts, 17-20, and HC Andy Reid’s offense run by star QB Patrick Mahomes underperformed in that one and was held scoreless in the fourth quarter, a rare sign of weakness from that 7th ranked offense.
The Chiefs will be facing a Tampa Bay Bucs team that is also coming off a tough Week 3 loss to the Green Bay Packers, 12-14, a tight game made tougher to win with the Bucs’ two turnovers and a failed game-tying 2-point conversion from a delay of game penalty by QB Tom Brady
Even though Mahomes is without the Cheetah – WR Tyreek Hill – these days, he is making do with deep threat Marquez Valdes-Scantling plus Mecole Hardman and slot man JuJu Smith-Shuster are running routes giving TE Travis Kelce free reign over the middle of the field.
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These two teams had a slow Week 3 on offense (they combined for 31 total points) so it might be tempting to expect them to do the same during this game, but these are two top-12 offensive units led by veteran quarterbacks with access to talented targets.
Both teams have top-10 defenses that can get after the opposing QBs, with the Chiefs now starting a rookie DE, George Karlaftis, to pair up with veteran DE Frank Clark, that line already with 10 sacks on the season no doubt with plans to get after Tom Brady who has been sacked six times in 2022 already.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers average 17 points per game this season and the KC Chiefs average 29.3 points per game and given neither team should have the home field advantage this weekend due to the impact on Florida from Hurricane Ian, so don’t expect crowd noise to be a factor.
These are two passing offenses that can get up and down the field with ease, especially now that the Bucs have WR Mike Evans back in the lineup, the deep threat ball hog having sat out last week thanks to the one-game suspension he received for fighting on behalf of Tom Brady.
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For those new to sports betting, the money line is the most basic wager you can make on a game since it is simply a straight-up bet on one team over the other without either side getting extra points, and typically this wager costs more money to bet the favorite.
In this case, however, picking either the Chiefs or the Bucs costs the same, so it comes down to which team you think is going to outright win – the 2-1 Chiefs with the 7th ranked offense and 10th ranked defense or the 2-1 Tampa Bay Bucs with the 27th ranked offense and the 4th best defense in the league right now.
Some players who could make a huge difference on Sunday – Chiefs WRs Mecole Hardmen (heel) and Marquez Valdes-Scantling (abdomen) are both listed as questionable for this one so watch to see if they suit up; same with Bucs WRs Chris Godwin (hamstring) and Julio Jones (knee – PCL) who may or may not play in this one.
Remember, the preseason this year was shorter than most so a lot of these teams and players are only now beginning to knock the offseason rust off so expect both the Chiefs and the Bucs to play well here.
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