Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Picks, Predictions & Player Props: Chiefs Hope to Stay Perfect in Super Bowl LV Rematch

• Both teams are dealing with injuries to key wide receivers.

• The Buccaneers have allowed an average of 33.8 points per game over their last four games, going 1-3 during that stretch.

• The Chiefs have yet to score 30 points in a game this year but have only allowed more than 20 points once.

The NFL has lined up a Super Bowl rematch to close out the Week 9 schedule. Monday night, the Kansas City Chiefs will host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a rematch of Super Bowl LV, which Tom Brady and the Bucs won over Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. Of course, the Chiefs are now two-time defending Super Bowl champs and the only undefeated team left in the NFL at 7-0. On the other hand, the Buccaneers have lost three of their last four games, making them desperate for a win at 4-4.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Odds

With the Chiefs being unbeaten and the Buccaneers in the midst of a slump, Kansas City is a heavy favorite at home on Monday. However, the Chiefs have struggled to cover the spread when favored by more than a touchdown this year, so this game may not be a one-sided affair.

Here are the current betting odds for Monday’s Chiefs-Buccaneers game from bet365 Sportsbook. Place your bets at bet365 and claim one of the following bonuses: $1,000 Safety Net Bet OR $200 in Bonus Bets.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers My Pick

• My Pick: Chiefs to cover the 8.5-point spread at -110 via bet365

It seems unlikely that the 7-0 Chiefs will suffer their first loss of the season at home against a struggling Tampa Bay team. Granted, Most of Kansas City’s wins have come by seven points or less, so this is a big spread for a team dealing with several key injuries. However, the Buccaneers are dealing with injuries as well. Plus, the Tampa offense has looked porous in recent weeks. Between the top-notch Kansas City defense and a KC offense that’s led by Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs should be able to win by double digits and cover the spread.

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Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Predictions

Following back-to-back losses and three losses in their last four games, this is far from an ideal time for the Buccaneers to be making the trip to Kansas City. It’s hard to say whether the Bucs are in worse shape offensively or defensively. On offense, both Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are currently sidelined with injuries. Despite Baker Mayfield still managing to throw at least three touchdown passes in four consecutive games, he’s also thrown seven interceptions over his last three games.

On the other side of the ball, the Bucs are moving in the wrong direction. The Tampa defense had some quality outings early in the season. But the wheelers have come off over the last month, as the Bucs have allowed an average of 33.8 points per game over their last four games. The Bucs are 0-3 this year when allowing at least 30 points and 1-4 when they allow 26 points or more.

As for the Chiefs, they’ve somehow managed to overcome their bad luck in the injury department. The likes of Rashee Rice, Hollywood Brown, and Isiah Pacheco are all on IR at the moment. However, Kareem Hunt has returned to Kansas City to stabilize the running game. Meanwhile, Patrick Mahomes has found a way to get by with Travis Kelce and rookie Xavier Worthy. The midseason addition of DeAndre Hopkins should also help the Chiefs moving forward.

The best news for Kansas City this year is that Mahomes hasn’t needed to carry the team. The Chiefs have a top-5 defense that’s yielding just 17.6 points per game. Chris Jones has been a disruptive force at the line of scrimmage, making things a little easier for the rest of the Kansas City defense. As a result, the Chiefs have been able to win close games and get to 7-0 despite scoring fewer than 30 points in every game.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Best Player Props

Kareem Hunt Anytime Touchdown (-138 at bet365 Sportsbook)

Hunt has been the key figure in the Kansas City backfield for the past month. He’s scored at least one touchdown in three straight games, totaling four touchdowns during that stretch. With the way the Tampa defense has played in recent weeks, the Chiefs are likely to score multiple touchdowns in this game. There is an excellent chance that Hunt gets one of those touchdowns. Keep in mind he’s gotten over 20 carries in three straight games, so nobody else is getting a lot of carries for the Chiefs, meaning it’ll be Hunt getting the ball when the KC offense is near the goal line.

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Cade Otton Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-110 at bet365 Sportsbook)

With Mike Evans and Chris Godwin out, Tampa’s starting tight end could be the focal point of the passing game. Otton got off to a slow start this year, but he’s come on strong lately. He has at least eight catches and at least 80 receiving yards in back-to-back games. Right now, Otton is the best option in the passing game, so he should easily surpass 47.5 receiving yards. It’s also worth noting that defending tight ends has been one of the few weaknesses of the Kansas City defense this year. The Chiefs are giving up an average of seven catches and 80 receiving yards to opposing tight ends. Those numbers indicate that Otton is likely to have another big game on Monday night. 

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Baker Mayfield Over 0.5 Interceptions (-155 at bet365 Sportsbook)

This might be the easiest prop bet on the entire Week 9 schedule. As mentioned, Mayfield has thrown seven interceptions over his last three games, giving him nine on the season. He’s not suddenly going to stop turning the ball over against a top-5 defense. The Bucs will likely be playing from behind in this game and are lacking their two best receivers. That will put even more pressure on Mayfield, leading to wreckless throws. Keep in mind that the Kansas City defense has five interceptions from five different defensive backs, so they have guys on the back end who can pick off Mayfield’s careless passes.

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Chiefs vs. Buccaneers How to Watch

• When: 8:15 PM, EST on Monday, November 4

• Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

• How to Watch: ESPN & ABC

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Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Injuries

Chiefs Injuries

• RB Isiah Pacheco (Injured Reserve)

• WR Rashee Rice (Injured Reserve)

• WR Skyy Moore (Injured Reserve)

• WR Hollywood Brown (Injured Reserve)

• WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (Questionable)

• DE Mike Danna (Questionable)

• CB Nazaah Johnson (Questionable) 

Buccaneers Injuries

• WR Chris Godwin (Injured Reserve) 

• WR Mike Evans (Out) 

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