Chiefs vs. Bengals Prop Bets and Predictions: Can Joe Burrow’s Success Against Kansas City Continue?

• Joe Burrow is 3-1 in games against the Chiefs.

• Travis Kelce was limited to three catches for 34 yards in Week 1.

• Patrick Mahomes threw one touchdown pass or less in nine of 21 games last season.

One of the hottest rivalries in the NFL will take center stage in Week 2 when the Cincinnati Bengals visit the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs beat the Bengals 25-17 last December, although that game was played while Joe Burrow was hurt. Burrow is healthy and hoping to improve upon his 3-1 record in head-to-head meetings with Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. Needless to say, both quarterbacks should be in the spotlight this week, making the Chiefs vs Bengals game a good one to target for prop bets.

You can find odds for this game, including a slew of prop bets, at FanDuel Sportsbook. FanDuel currently has an offer that gives new users $200 in bonus bets as soon as they sign up and make an initial wager of $5. Meanwhile, new FanDuel users also have the opportunity to sign up for a free trial of NFL Sunday Ticket.

Chiefs vs. Bengals Predictions

The Bengals turned heads in Week 1, just not for any good reasons. Cincinnati was the biggest favorite of the weekend in Week 1, yet the Bengals suffered a disappointing 16-10 home loss to the Patriots. That loss is likely to recalibrate how people perceive the Bengals this season unless Cincinnati can go to Arrowhead Stadium and pull off the upset.

Burrow’s performance was particularly disappointing, as he finished with just 164 passing yards, averaging 5.7 yards per pass. In his defense, Burrow is coming off a wrist injury that forced him to miss the back end of last season. The Bengals were also playing without an injured Tee Higgins in Week 1 while familiar faces like Joe Mixon and Tyler Boyd are also missing from Cincinnati’s roster this year.

Meanwhile, it was business as usual for Mahomes and the Chiefs. While the Ravens challenged them for a full 60 minutes, the Chiefs found a way to pull it out. Mahomes threw for 291 yards, and that was while barely targeting Travis Kelce, allowing Rashee Rice and rookie Xavier Worthy to make plays. If those two continue to develop, the Kansas City offense could be even more potent than in past years.

Chiefs vs Bengals Best Prop Bets

Based on last week’s performance of these two teams, the Chiefs figure to be a safe bet as a six-point home favorite. But let’s explore some of the prop bets that are worth considering in this game.

Patrick Mahomes Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+146) at FanDuel Sportsbook

In the playoffs, when the season is on the line, Mahomes is going to bring his best. However, in regular-season games against the Bengals in each of the past two seasons, he’s only thrown one touchdown pass. It was the same case in last week’s season opener. Mahomes was efficient as a passer and threw for nearly 300 yards. However, he only threw one touchdown pass with the Chiefs rushing for two of their three touchdowns.

It’s not as if the Bengals had a poor defensive showing last week. Granted, they only had to face Jacoby Brissett and the Patriots. But it was the Cincinnati defense that was problematic. Plus, the Bengals always seem to have a plan to contain Mahomes. The Chiefs might not be able to create big plays and could lean more on their running game in the red zone, which is why there is good value in betting on Mahomes to be held to just one touchdown pass, which actually happened nine times in 21 games last season.

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Joe Burrow Over 22.5 Pass Completions (-125) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Completing passes wasn’t a problem for Burrow last week. He connected on 21 of his 29 pass attempts. Throwing down the field and creating big plays was one of Cincinnati’s issues offensively in last week’s loss. However, Burrow was at least accurate with his passes, which is a good indicator that he’ll be able to improve upon his total number of completions this week.

Since most people expect the Bengals to be playing from behind against the Chiefs, Burrow is going to have to do a lot more heavy lifting. The Bengals didn’t get that much out of their running game last week anyway, which means they’ll lean on Burrow even more. It’s worth noting that FanDuel’s over/under for Burrow’s pass attempts is 34.5. If he ends up throwing around 35 passes, completing at least 23 shouldn’t be that much of a problem given the accuracy he showed on short passes last week.

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Isiah Pacheco Anytime Touchdown (-125) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Stopping the run was a huge problem for the Bengals last week. They let New England’s Rhamondre Stevenson run for 120 yards and a touchdown on 25 carries. Pacheco should be set up for similar success this week. After the way the Patriots ran the ball, the Chiefs will attempt to do the same, which is another reason why we chose to go under 1.5 touchdown passes for Mahomes.

As for Pacheco, he gained just 45 yards on 15 carries against the Ravens last week. However, he still found the end zone against a strong run defense. He also ran all over the Bengals late in 2023, gaining 130 yards despite not scoring a touchdown. It’s not as if the Chiefs have a great backup who’s going to get a lot of touches. Pacheco is going to be the bell cow for Kansas City’s offense and he is likely going to have opportunities in the red zone to score another touchdown. Against the Cincinnati defense, he should have no problem touching the paint in Week 2.

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Chiefs vs. Bengals How to Watch

• What: Chiefs vs Bengals Week 2

• When: Sunday, September 15 at 4:25 PM, EST

• Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

• How to Watch: CBS

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