Despite their issues in the secondary, the Ravens are allowing just 3.4 yards per carry on the ground.
Justin Herbert has 13 touchdown passes and just one interception this season.
Derrick Henry has been held to 73 rushing yards or less in three of his last four games.
NFL fans couldn’t have asked for a much better game to close out Week 12 than Monday’s AFC Conference Showdown between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Baltimore Ravens. This game pairs up head coaches Jim Harbaugh and John Harbaugh, brothers who also squared off in Super Bowl XLVII.
Outside of that plotline, the Chargers are among the hottest teams in football right now with four straight wins. They are also 4-1 at home and looking good for a playoff spot. The Ravens, likewise, would have one of the AFC’s Wild Card spots if the season ended today. However, they are also coming off their third loss of the season, all of which have come on the road. Baltimore is yet to beat a team with a winning record on the road this season, giving the Ravens much to prove in Monday’s game.
The Ravens are considered the better team on paper because of the seasons Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry have had - last week’s loss to the Steelers aside. That explains why Baltimore is a slight road favorite in this game despite losing its last two road games. As mentioned, the Chargers are 4-1 at home and riding a four-game winning streak, so seeing them as an underdog is a little surprising.
Nevertheless, here are the current betting odds for Monday’s game at bet365 Sportsbook. Place your bets on the Chargers vs Ravens MNF matchup at bet365 and claim a bonus of your choice: $1,000 Safety Net Bet OR $150 in Bonus Bets.
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Over/Under |
---|---|---|---|
Baltimore Ravens | -2.5 (-115) | -150 | Over 50.5 (-110) |
Los Angeles Chargers | +2.5 (-105) | +125 | Under 50.5 (-110) |
Last week’s loss showed that the Ravens are not an unstoppable force when facing a talented defensive team. The Chargers have the best defense in the NFL, conceding just 14.5 points per game. While the Bengals had some success against the Los Angeles defense last week, it didn’t come until the second half. That was also just the second time a team scored more than 17 points in a game. Baltimore’s offense is more reliant on the run than the pass, so even if the Ravens have success, they will run the clock down and this will be a low-scoring game in which both teams will struggle to get much more than 20 points. I might sprinkle in the Los Angeles moneyline, but the best bet in this game is to bet the under on 51 points.
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The three touchdowns the Chargers gave up in the second half of last week’s game should be considered an aberration. The Bengals scored more points in those 30 minutes than any team has scored against the Chargers in 60 minutes this season. Even with the Ravens averaging over 30 points per game, the Los Angeles defense should be able to hold them to a lower point total.
Keep in mind that the Ravens don’t always want to throw the ball down the field. They are more comfortable letting Derrick Henry carry the load. The Chargers have actually allowed 4.7 yards per carry on the ground this year. They could be vulnerable against Henry, which will mean the Baltimore offense will be successful. But it will also limit the total possessions in this game, making this a close, low-scoring game.
The Chargers are also a run-first team that prefers to keep the ball on the ground. They’ve had more rush attempts this season than pass attempts. That balance has helped Justin Herbert to put together his best season, which has included 13 touchdown passes and just one interception.
The tandem of J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards has helped to take some of the pressure off Herbert, who doesn’t exactly have a dynamic set of pass-catchers around him. Even though the Ravens are allowing a league-low 3.4 yards per carry on the ground, the Chargers are going to keep trying to run the ball unless they fall behind, which points to a low-scoring game that either team could win.
Dobbins had some big games early in the season but he’s been slowed down lately. He’s been held to 57 rushing yards or less in four of his last five games. Against the best rush defense in the league, topping 50 yards could be a challenge. Gus Edwards has taken some carries away from him the past couple of weeks, so Dobbins may not get enough touches against a good rush defense to go beyond 47.5 rushing yards.
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As mentioned, Herbert has thrown just one interception this season. Yet, we’re still getting plus odds on him to not throw a pick on Monday. Keep in mind that his one interception came in Week 2 in a game the Chargers won easily. Even in close games or games the Chargers lost, he’s been able to avoid throwing interceptions this season. While the Ravens have collected seven interceptions this season, that doesn’t mean they’ll be able to bait Herbert into throwing one.
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Earlier this season, Henry went over 88.5 rushing yards in five straight games. Ordinarily, this would be a safe bet. However, opposing teams have been able to slow him down lately, holding him to 73 yards or less in three of his last four games. The Chargers will be focused on slowing down Henry and forcing Lamar Jackson to beat them with his arm. Keep in mind that Henry doesn’t play much in obvious passing situations, so if the Ravens trail late in the game, he won’t even be on the field. That could keep him from surpassing 88 rushing yards on Monday.
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When: 8:15 PM, EST on Monday, November 25
Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California
How to Watch: ESPN & ABC
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Chargers Injuries
WR Ladd McConkey (Questionable)
OG Trey Pipkins III (Questionable)
LB Joey Bosa (Questionable)
LB Bud Depree (Questionable)
LB Denzel Perryman (Questionable)
LB Khalil Mack (Questionable)
CB Cam Hart (Questionable)
CB Asante Samuel Jr. (Injured Reserve)
S Derwin James (Questionable)
S AJ Finley (Questionable)
Ravens Injuries
RB Justice Hill (Questionable)
WR Nelson Agholor (Questionable)
DT Travis Jones (Questionable)
LB Roquan Smith (Questionable)
CB Authur Maulet (Questionable)
S Eddie Jackson (Questionable)
Monday Night Football Week 12 Picks
Monday Night Football Week 12 Prop Bets
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