In Week 13 of the NFL season, the Los Angeles Chargers and New England Patriots will square off in Massachusetts. The Chargers and Patriots are two teams that simply cannot figure out how to win games, so this one should make for an interesting outcome for the four-win Chargers and two-win Patriots.
Below are the best prop bets for this matchup.
When scoring touchdowns, the Patriots are far from an elite team. This season, they average just 1.5 per game, and that average is down to one over their last three games. At home, though, that average is up to two.
So why go over 1.5 here?
The Chargers defense is putrid.
This season, the Chargers allow 2.7 touchdowns per game; over their last three games, that’s up to 3.3.
On the ground, the Chargers have allowed 166.3 rushing yards and 264 passing yards on average over their last three games.
The Patriots offense with a mix of Mac Jones and Bailey Zappe has been challenging to watch, but they still have a rushing attack with Ezekiel Elliott and Rhamondre Stevenson.
Look for the rushing attack to get a score and for the Patriots passing attack to bring one home against one of the worst secondaries in the league.
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While the Chargers defense might be one of the worst in the NFL, the Patriots defense will have to contend with an offense with many weapons at their disposal.
This season, the Patriots allow 222.7 passing yards, 94.1 rushing yards, and 2.4 touchdowns per game.
The Patriots defense has played tough all season, but the issue is the offense turning the ball over.
The Chargers are averaging 253.3 passing yards and 111.3 rushing yards per game.
Look for Keenan Allen and Austin Ekeler to be the point of emphasis here again.
In this game, either the Chargers score 20 first or no one does. The Patriots have only scored 20 or more twice this season—20 against Philadelphia and 29 against Buffalo.
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While the Chargers are certainly the better offense here with their weapons and quarterback Justin Herbert, you have to give some respect to the Patriots defense. As mentioned, they’re allowing 222.7 passing yards and 94.1 rushing yards per game.
Keeping that in mind, along with the Chargers traveling to the East Coast and typically playing what would be a 10 am kickoff, we could see a bit of rust out of the gate.
Also, this game will take place at the beginning of December in Massachusetts, so even if there aren’t any elements such as rain or snow, expect it to be cold—a type of weather the Los Angeles squad isn’t used to.
The Chargers are averaging four punt attempts per game, and with all of these factors, one on the opening drive seems likely.
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