The Los Angeles Chargers and Green Bay Packers are both coming off Week 10 losses, but the Chargers were far worse as they scored 38 points and allowed 41 to the Detroit Lions.
Both teams will look to get right here. As for us, we’ll look at the three best prop bets for this game.
Let’s check it out.
Since Week 2, it’s, more or less, been a season to forget for Packers quarterback Jordan Love, but we'd like him to go over his passing yardage line here.
This season, he’s had 227 passing yards or more in six games, and he’s facing a Chargers defense that allows more than 315 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks. The Chargers offense is potent enough to put the Packers in a position to throw, and Love has also gone over this total in three straight games.
The Chargers have yet to hold an opposing quarterback to 226 passing yards or less this season.
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The odds aren’t spectacular here at -180, but it’s hard to bet on Love leaving a game without an interception. He’s thrown one in all but three games this season, two of which were the first two weeks of the season where he was playing his best. Since then, he’s thrown ten interceptions and has had seven turnover-worthy plays.
The Chargers have six interceptions this season and haven’t had one in back-to-back weeks, but Love is so turnover-prone. An interception feels far too likely in a matchup against a stout offense that forces Love to throw.
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The Chargers allow a plethora of passing yards to opposing quarterbacks, and against receivers, they allow an average of 13 receptions for 196 yards and more than a touchdown per game.
One matchup that stands out is Jayden Reed out of the slot for the Packers against Chargers slot corner Ja’Sir Taylor.
Reed has had five targets or more in two of his last three games and has four touchdowns this season, including one in Week 10.
This season, Taylor has allowed 25 receptions on 41 targets for 301 yards on 304 coverage snaps. He recently allowed five receptions on nine targets for 33 yards, but Love should have one of his better-passing touchdown games.
Reed is still very much involved in the offense despite the plethora of weapons.
*All statistics courtesy of Pro Football Focus.
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