Chargers vs. Chiefs SNF Picks, Predictions & Player Props: Expect a Lack of Scoring Opportunities Between Two Stout Defenses

• The Kansas City Chiefs are currently a heavy favorite to win the AFC West division title

• Kansas City has a one game lead over the Buffalo Bills for the top overall seed in the AFC

• The Los Angeles Chargers defense ranks top-10 in Def Pass DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate

After an 11-1 start to the season, the Kansas City Chiefs have clinched a spot in the playoffs and have a one game lead over the Buffalo Bills for the top overall seed in the AFC standings. The Chiefs also have a three game lead over the Los Angeles Chargers in the AFC West division standings and can strengthen their position for the division title with a win on Sunday night. Unfortunately for Kansas City, Patrick Mahomes may find it challenging to move the ball down the field at a consistent rate against the Chargers defense.

Chargers vs. Chiefs Odds 

Odds for the Chargers vs. Chiefs matchup are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook. Get up to $1,500 back in the form of bonus bets should you lose your first wager after creating an account with the WSN promo code WSNSPORTS.

Chargers vs. Chiefs My Pick

• My Pick: Under 43 (-110) at BetMGM

The two time MVP Patrick Mahomes may be in for a long night as he tries to generate drives down the field against a stout Chargers defense who excels in coverage. As of writing, the Chargers secondary ranks top-10 in Def Pass DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate. Factor in Justin Herbert potentially being without his top wideout Ladd McConkey and the Chargers offense may also be prone to stalling out as the Chiefs can continue to blitz their linebackers while keeping their corners in single coverage.

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Chargers vs. Chiefs Predictions 

Against the Chargers, the Chiefs defensive line is in for a big outing as they get the opportunity to push against a Chargers unit who ranks near dead last in Adjusted Sack Rate and Adjusted Line Yards. Their ability to clog the interior hurts Gus Edwards chances of breaking one out, shading value towards the under on his longest rush prop. Speaking of rushing, Mahomes may also use his legs more often as the Chargers anchor their linebackers in coverage at a heavy rate which creates high quality rushing lanes.

Chargers vs. Chiefs Best Player Props

Gus Edwards Longest Rush Under 10.5 Yards (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After getting the starting nod when JK Dobbins went down with an injury, Gus Edwards severely underwhelmed in his first start as he was held to just 32 total yards against the Atlanta Falcons. The Chiefs front seven will do him no favors in his efforts of bouncing back as Kansas City excels at stuffing the run, entering the contest ranked top-10 in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate. Factor in their heavy use of the blitz and Edwards will struggle to fight past the contact and generate an explosive play.

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Patrick Mahomes Over 16.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

With the Chargers defense anchoring their linebackers at one of the highest rates in the league, Mahomes may utilize his legs more often should his underwhelming group of pass catchers struggle to create separation away from their coverage. Especially when the Chargers front four excel at creating pressure, forcing Mahomes into more scrambling situations which increases the chances of him cashing this prop.

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Patrick Mahomes Over 0.5 Interception (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

While the Chargers linebackers anchoring in coverage helps out the Chiefs ground game, it will hurt Mahomes chances of connecting with his pass catchers as he tries to maneuver the ball through tight windows and low quality passing lanes. Especially when in the middle of the field as the Chargers defense ranks top-10 in Def Pass Success Rate and Def Pass DVOA. Their elite coverage may create an uptick in turnover worthy plays, potentially resulting in Mahomes 12th interception on the season.

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Chargers vs. Chiefs How to Watch

• When: Sunday, December 8

• Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

• Where to Watch: NBC

Chargers vs. Chiefs Best Promos and Sportsbooks

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Chargers vs. Chiefs Injuries

Chargers Injuries

• RB J.K. Dobbins - Out

• WR Ladd McConkey - Questionable

• LB Daiyan Henley - Questionable

• LB Denzel Perryman - Questionable

• CB Cam hart - Questionable

• FS Elijah Molden - Questionable

Chiefs Injuries

• N/A

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