The Ravens hold opposing running backs well under three yards per carry but allow nearly 300 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks.
Ravens running back Derrick Henry has scored in every game this season.
Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield has thrown for 325 yards or more in two of these last three games.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are hosting the Baltimore Ravens in Week 7 in one of two Monday Night Football games. The Ravens and Buccaneers are both 4-2.
Below are the odds for this game, my pick, predictions, and best player props.
Look below for the moneyline, point spread, and total odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets on this matchup at Fanduel and you can receive $300 in bonus bets and three free months of NBA League Pass with a winning $5 wager.
Team | Moneyline | Points Spread | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Buccaneers | +162 | +3.5 (-105) | Over 49.5 (-110) |
Ravens | -194 | -3.5 (-115) | Under 49.5 (-110) |
The Ravens offense has been scoring points, and a big part of that is the play of quarterback Lamar Jackson, who has had back-to-back 300-plus yard passing performances, and running back Derrick Henry, who leads the league in rushing with more than 700 passing yards.
However, they face a Buccaneers offense averaging 40 points per game over their last three and the Ravens allow nearly 300 passing yards per game.
I’m siding with the home underdog here.
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The Ravens started the season 0-2 but have now won four straight, averaging 33.5 points per game in that span.
In those four games, though, they’ve also allowed 23 points or more in three of them, including 38 to the Cincinnati Bengals.
The Ravens' defense is a bit Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde in that it’s fantastic against the run, holding opposing running backs to just 45 yards per game and 2.87 yards per carry. However, its pass defense is one of the worst in the league, allowing nearly 25 completions for 298 yards and almost two passing touchdowns per game.
They’ve allowed multiple touchdown passes this season in half of the games, including five to the Bengals.
Their offense has been sensational, though.
Jackson has thrown for 1,529 yards, 10 touchdowns, and two interceptions this season.
He’s also added 403 yards and two touchdowns on the ground.
Henry has scored in every game this season and has 130 rushing yards or more in three of his last four games.
Looking at the Buccaneers, we cannot discount this offense with quarterback Baker Mayfield, wide receivers Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, and a stable of backs that have all produced at some point this season, including Rachaad White, Sean Tucker, and Bucky Irving.
Mayfield is completing nearly 71% of his passes for 1,489 yards, 15 touchdowns, and five interceptions.
He’s also added 136 rushing yards and two touchdowns.
The stable of backs has totaled 125 carries for 658 yards and three touchdowns.
The Buccaneers defense allows 270 passing yards and one passing touchdown per game.
They also allow 4.62 yards per carry to opposing running backs but have only allowed four rushing touchdowns to the position through six games.
I think we’re in for a lot of offense and I think the Buccaneers, getting three points and the hook, cover at home.
Get ready for some scoring.
The following player prop odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook, where you can get your first bet back if it loses up to $1,000 by using promo code WSN1000 during account creation.
So far this season, Jackson has four games with double-digit carries.
He’s also run for 40 yards or more in every game.
As mentioned, he has two rushing touchdowns.
Taking on the Buccaneers, he’ll face a defense that’s allowing 31 rushing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks.
They’ve also allowed four rushing touchdowns to the position, including two to Washington Commanders rookie Jayden Daniels.
The other touchdowns came from Denver Broncos rookie Bo Nix and Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts.
The other games came against quarterbacks like Jared Goff, Kirk Cousins, and Spencer Rattler.
Cousins hasn’t scored a rushing touchdown since 2022.
Goff hasn’t scored since 2023.
Simply put, quarterbacks who can run do well against them, and Jackson is the best-rushing quarterback in the league.
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As you can see from the odds, Henry’s likelihood of scoring is quite high, and rightfully so.
I mean, shoot, he’s scored in every game this season, so why stop now?
The Buccaneers are allowing 17 carries for 79 yards per game (4.62 yards per carry).
Yes, the Buccaneers have only allowed four rushing touchdowns, but those all came in separate games.
The Buccaneers have only faced one team with more than 20 carries from the running back position.
Henry averages just about 20 carries per game.
He’s unlike any other running back in the NFL. He’s the focal point of this offense, and he’ll get plenty of usage in a game in which the Ravens are favored.
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The Ravens are allowing 298.17 passing yards per game.
Opposing quarterbacks are averaging 37 attempts and nearly 25 completions.
Mayfield has thrown for 1,489 yards this season and is averaging 7.9 yards per attempt and 248.2 passing yards per game.
However, he’s thrown for 257 yards or more in three games this season, including in two of his last three.
Going off of how many attempts are made against the Ravens per game and multiplying that by Mayfield’s yards per attempt, that’s about 292 passing yards.
The Buccaneers are home underdogs here. I expect them to throw a bunch.
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When: Monday, Oct. 21 at 8:15 PM ET
Where: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay, FL
Where to Watch: ESPN
If you’re looking for the best odds for the Ravens vs. Buccaneers matchup or any other Week 7 NFL game, check out our top recommended NFL betting sites. FanDuel and Caesars are two of my favorite sportsbooks to use. FanDuel always has the top betting odds, while Caesars has a massive menu of player props.
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Ravens linebacker Malik Harrison is questionable with a groin injury.
Ravens defensive tackle Broderick Washington is questionable with a knee injury.
Ravens wide receiver Deonte Harty is questionable with a knee injury.
Ravens cornerback Arthur Maulet is questionable with a knee/hamstring injury.
Buccaneers center Graham Barton is questionable with a hamstring injury.
Buccaneers linebacker Chris Braswell is questionable with a shoulder injury.
Buccaneers defensive back Jamel Dean is questionable with a hamstring injury.
Buccaneers tight end Payne Durham is questionable with a calf injury.
Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evan is questionable with a hamstring injury.
Buccaneers defensive tackle William Gholston is questionable with a knee injury.
Buccaneers defensive back Christian Izien is quesitonable with a elbow/groin injury.
Buccaneers wide receiver Rakim Jarrett is questionable with a knee injury.
Buccaneers wide receiver Kameron Johnson is questionable with an ankle injury.
Buccaneers wide receiver Trey Palmer is questionable with a concussion.
Buccaneers running back Rachaad White is questionable with a foot injury.
Buccaneers safety Antoine Winfield Jr. is questionable with a foot injury.
Monday Night Football Week 7 Picks
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