Jerome Ford Over 43.5 Rushing Yards (-114) on FanDuel Sportsbook
Jerome Ford has been one of the biggest surprises in the NFL this season. He has run over nearly every defense in his way and helped salvage Cleveland’s season following the loss of bell-cow back Nick Chubb.
However, one defense that slowed down Ford in his entirety is Houston. The Texans have a strong run defense, loaded with elite talent in the front seven. They’re second in the NFL in least rushing yards per game and had success in their first meeting against Cleveland.
Houston held Ford to 25 yards on 15 attempts. Yet, from a betting standpoint, it was positive to see Ford receive 15 attempts when things weren’t going his way. Ford didn’t play much last week because Cleveland’s playoff spot was locked, and most of the carries went to Pierre Strong Jr.
Strong is questionable for this game with a back injury, so his limited carries should return to Ford. We also anticipate the Browns having a lead at the end of the game.
They must combine a few quality drives and keep the clock moving with their run game. These final runs should help Ford clear his 43.5-yard line.
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CJ Stroud Over 242.5 Passing Yards (-114) on FanDuel Sportsbook
Stroud should win Rookie of the Year this season, and he has been the most impactful player for his team. When the Texans are winning, it’s thanks to their offense. While the defense has been stout against the run, they have surrendered big plays through the air.
If the Texans allow early points in this game, it will require their offense to answer, starting with Stroud. Stroud is a top-tier pocket passer, and his stats reflect this fact.
The Browns only allow 164 yards per game through the air, which is the best in the NFL. Yet, it’s hard to take an Under for Stroud’s moderate 242.5-yard passing line. He has cleared this number in three of his past five games and needs to for the Texans to have a chance.
Houston doesn’t have the best run game, so it will be by passing if they want to score. Stroud has performed against good defenses this season, and we should see this again on Saturday.
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Nico Collins Over 76.5 Receiving Yards (-114) on FanDuel Sportsbook
If Stroud exceeds his passing line, Nico Collins will exceed his rushing line. There isn’t a path for Stroud to surpass 242.5 yards without a standout performance from Collins.
The receiver is explosive and can create big plays down the field. He only had 18 yards against the Browns in his first meeting of the season, but Strou didn’t play in that game.
In his last outing against the Colts, he caught nine passes for 195 yards and a touchdown. He had a 75-yard touchdown catch to open the game but was still over 100 yards, taking this big play out of his stat line.
Collins finds ways to get open, and we should see this once again. With Tank Dell ruled out, Collins is Stroud’s primary weapon to work with on Saturday.
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How to Watch Browns vs. Texans
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Who: Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans
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Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
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When: Saturday, January 13, 4:30 p.m. ET
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TV: NBC
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Streaming: NBC Sports App
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