The Browns come into this matchup as one of the worst teams in football at 1-4
Philadelphia is 2-2 and looking to get above .500 in this game at home
Is nine points too high of a number for Philadelphia to cover?
The Browns and Eagles are both desperate for a win. Each team is spiraling, and the quarterbacks are a major reason for this downhill trend.
Deshaun Watson has been one of the worst in the league, especially considering his contract. Jalen Hurts has been turnover-prone and doesn’t look like the signal caller who took Philadelphia to the Super Bowl a few years ago.
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Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Cleveland Browns | +9 (-108) | +350 | Over 42.5 (-112) |
Philadelphia Eagles | -9 (-112) | -455 | Under 42.5 (-108) |
The Cold, Hard Football Facts have successfully predicted the outcome of NFL games and seasons for over 20 years. Their 22 proprietary stats rank teams in terms of efficiency, and these teams rank towards the bottom.
The Browns rank 26th in the quality stat power rankings, while the Eagles are 21st. This means both teams are highly inefficient and two of the worst teams in the league at the moment.
This game may see little action on the offensive side of the ball, which is why we think nine points is way too much in a matchup like this.
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Both teams come into this matchup underperforming and struggling tremendously on the offensive side of the ball. Regarding scoreability in the Cold Hard Football Facts metrics, Philadelphia ranks 26th, while Cleveland ranks 14th.
Scaleability measures how well the offense is converting their yards into points.
Watson has struggled all season, and there are many question marks on the offensive side of the ball. Lousy quarterback play is a huge reason Cleveland has started the season 1-4, but the Eagles have sometimes been better.
Philadelphia was without star receiver AJ Brown for the first three weeks of the season, but he is now getting back into the swing of things. DeVonta Smith is questionable for this matchup which would be a huge loss for the Eagles.
The Eagles will lean on Saquon Barkley, but he has a tough matchup against the Browns defense.
The Eagles have not shown that they are nine points better than the Browns, which is the primary reason we’re taking the points.
Philadelphia runs its offense through Saquon Barkley, so he is -195 to score on Sunday. He has been terrific this season for Philadelphia, running for 435 yards with four touchdowns.
The Eagles have a great offensive line that gives Barkley space to run, which leads to big plays. Barkley is also a huge red zone threat if the Eagles choose to limit Hurts in this area of the field.
We expect Barkley to get his way in this matchup and find the endzone, so -195 is worth playing
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Hurts has gotten most of his opportunities to score in the red zone from a quarterback standpoint. He is one of the most versatile players in the league and can make huge plays on his feet. Hurts has scored twice this year, and we expect him to find the end zone in this game.
Hurts has 163 yards on 42 attempts in 2024. He will get plenty of chances to run by scrambling out of the pocket from a great Browns front on defense, and we like his chances of scoring.
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The last prop we are taking is Jerome Ford anytime touchdown. Ford is the lead back in Cleveland, and they will rely on him a ton, especially with a struggling quarterback.
It is hard enough for the Browns to score points in 2024, so expect Ford to get plenty of touches in the red zone.
We expect Ford to impact this game if Cleveland finds early success. Look for him to score in this matchup to cash this prop.
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When: Sunday, October 13, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST
Where: Lincoln Financial Field
Where to Watch: FOX
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Myles Garrett DE - Questionable
Ronnie Hickman S - Questionable
Pierre Strong Jr RB - Questionable
Devonta Smith WR - Questionable
Johnny Wilson WR - Questionable
Nakobe Dean LB - Questionable
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