Since Week 2, Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix has 1,891 passing yards, 14 touchdowns, and just two interceptions
The Raiders are last in the league in rushing yards per game at 75.2
The Broncos lead the league in sacks with 39, while Raiders quarterbacks have been sacked 33 times, tied for third-most in the NFL
The 6-5 Denver Broncos are on the road in Week 12 against the 2-8 Las Vegas Raiders. The Broncos are in third place in the AFC West, while the Raiders are last in the same division.
Below are the odds for this game, my best bet, predictions, and best player props.
Look below for the moneyline, point spread, and total odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets at FanDuel and receive $150 in bonus bets after placing a winning $5 wager.
FanDuel Moneyline | FanDuel Point Spread | FanDuel Totals |
---|---|---|
Raiders: +194 | Raiders: +5.5 (-115) | Over 41.5: -105 |
Broncos: -235 | Broncos: -5.5 (-105) | Under 41.5: -115 |
If you tuned out of what Bo Nix has been doing since after Week 2, you’d be surprised to know that, since then, he has 1,891 passing yards, 14 touchdowns, and just two interceptions.
He’s been on fire this season and now takes on a Raiders defense that’s allowed eight passing touchdowns over the last two games.
The Broncos have seen a nice two-game stretch from wide receiver Devaughn Vele, who’s caught eight passes on nine targets for 105 yards and a touchdown.
The Raiders have fired numerous coaches and have just two wins this season.
Now they have to try to slow down one of the best quarterbacks over the better part of 10 weeks.
Broncos win and cover.
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The Raiders are coming off a brutal 34-19 loss on the road to the Miami Dolphins after firing three coaches on the offensive side of the ball.
Now, they have to face the Broncos, who have had a great quarterback since Week 2.
Also, the Broncos have 39 sacks this season as a team, which leads the league. Between all three quarterbacks who have played for the Raiders—Gardner Minshew, Desmond Ridder, and Aidan O’Connell—they’ve been sacked 33 times, which could be tied for third-most in the NFL.
One of the Raiders starting cornerbacks, Jakorian Bennett, is questionable. If he doesn’t play, the Raiders will be without a cornerback, allowing a reception rate of less than 50%, and who hasn’t allowed a touchdown.
The Broncos don’t exactly have the best wide receiving corps in the league, but without Bennett, they could do some damage as Vele has shown to be competent, and Courtland Sutton is top 17 in receptions (49) and top 14 in yards (647).
The Broncos rushing yards per game are slightly below average at 116, but the Raiders' run defense has allowed five rushing touchdowns to running backs over the last five games.
As for the Raiders, they’ll try to make something happen against a defense that averages nearly one interception per game and has only allowed six rushing scores all season.
I don’t have faith in a Raiders offense that’s dead-last in rushing yards per game at 75.2 and has a quarterback with more interceptions than touchdown passes.
Broncos to cover.
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Heading into this game, the Raiders have allowed at least 251 passing yards in each of the last three games.
As for Nix, he’s thrown for 213 yards or more in each of the last four games.
He’s coming off a 307-yard day with four touchdowns against the Atlanta Falcons.
Opposing quarterbacks average 31.6 attempts per game against the Raiders. This season, Nix is at 6.4, which would fall short of the 212.5 line, but he’s had a yards per attempt average of at least 6.8 over the last four games.
At 6.8, this would just clear the mark. In three of those four games, it’s been at least 7.2.
Nix has been putting up some good passing numbers, and that’ll continue here.
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Sutton has scored just three times this season, the most recent coming in Week 10 against the Kansas City Chiefs, when he caught six passes for 70 yards.
Sutton is far and away the top receiver on the Broncos. He’s seen 85 targets and has caught 49 of them for 647 yards and those three touchdowns.
Opposing quarterbacks average 1.8 passing touchdowns per game against the Raiders, and they’ve surrendered at least one touchdown to a wide receiver in each of the last two games.
The Raiders best cornerback, Jakorian Bennett, didn’t practice Wednesday and is questionable. He’s easily their best cornerback, having not allowed a touchdown, but he could be out for this one.
At +165, it’s worth a shot.
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At this point, the Raiders best receiving option is Bowers.
As a rookie tight end, he’s second in the NFL in receptions with 70 and has 706 yards.
He’s had 53 yards or more in five of the last six games.
The Broncos may only allow 43 yards per game to the position, but Bowers is a unique circumstance.
Still, the Broncos have allowed 53 yards or more to the position four times this season.
The Raiders are closer to a touchdown underdog at home. I fully expect Bowers to be peppered with targets again.
Despite how bad the Raiders are, he’ll continue to put up good stat lines.
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When: Sunday, Nov. 24 at 4:05 PM ET
Where: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada
Where to Watch: CBS
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Raiders guard Cody Whitehair is questionable.
Raiders center Andre James is questionable.
Raiders cornerback Nate Hobbs is questionable.
Raiders tight end Harrison Bryant is questionable.
Raiders running back Zamir White is questionable.
Raiders running back Alexander Mattison is questionable.
Raiders cornerback Jack Jones is questionable.
Raiders cornerback Jakorian Bennett is questionable.
Broncos safety Brandon Jones is questionable.
Sunday Night Football Week 12 Picks
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