Best Tua Tagovailoa Prop Bets: Look for the Quarterback to Continue Improving

• The Dolphins are coming off a loss to Arizona in Week 8

• Tua Tagovailoa looked good in his Week 8 return, throwing for 234 yards

• Buffalo comes into this game at 6-2, leading the AFC East

The Dolphins and Bills have posted two very different seasons through eight weeks. Miami was without Tua Tagovailoa for a chunk of the season, but Tagovailoa is back in the lineup and looking to make up for missed time.

Josh Allen has Buffalo looking like one of the best football teams. After winning their last three games, the Bills have a four-game lead in the division. 

In a game where we expect Miami to be trailing, we expect Tagovailoa to throw the ball a lot and have a massive performance. 

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Tua Tagovailoa Over 248.5 Passing Yards (-115) at bet365 Sportsbook

There is no question that Tagovailoa has a ton of weapons to utilize on the offensive side of the ball. With an excellent receiving room in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, we expect Tagovailoa to take advantage of the mismatches and target his stars. 

Tagovailoa is due for at least one deep ball a game to one of these playmakers, and their yard after the catch ability is terrific. With Tagovailoa’s accuracy, we think he will have a massive performance and quickly surpass his passing yards prop. 

Look for the Dolphins to establish the run game to open up the passing game offensively. This AFC East division game has always been toe-to-toe, and we expect the same result. 

Tagovailoa has thrown for 717 yards in three games this season, which is impressive considering he was battling injuries all year. 

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Tua Tagovailoa Over 34.5 Passing Attempts (-115) at bet365 Sportsbook

It’s usually a good idea to take a quarterback’s passing attempts in a game where the team might be trailing, which is possible in this case. The Bills have been dominant in 2024, and have a roster that presents a brutal mismatch for opponents. 

Josh Allen is in line to win MVP in 2024, and he can put up points quickly. 

We expect Buffalo to take an early lead in this game, and if that happens, Tagovailoa and the Dolphins will have no choice but to rely on the passing game. 

This prop holds a ton of value because Tagovailoa missed a few matchups due to injury this season, and the number is lower than it would be when healthy. 

Look for Tagovailoa to exploit the Buffalo secondary and go over this number on Sunday. 

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Tua Tagovailoa Over 36.5 Yards Longest Completion (-115) at bet365 Sportsbook

Taking a quarterback’s longest completion can be a great wager, especially when the quarterback has deep-threat options at wide receiver. 

With Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle leading the charge, Tagovailoa will get plenty of opportunities to throw the deep ball in this matchup. 

With the Dolphins playmakers on offense, running after the catch can be an important factor when taking this prop. Hill and Waddle can break long runs from wide receiver screens and short passes, which is why we like this prop. 

Tagovailoa has one of the strongest arms in football, and we think he will utilize it in this game. Miami is 2-6 and needs to rally off some wins, and to do that, Tagovailoa must take shots down the field. 

The Bills cannot double-team Hill and Waddle, so there will be a playmaker down the field open during this game. This allows Tagovailoa to take chances in the deep passing game to surpass this line. 

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Tua Tagovailoa 2024 Stats

• Passing Yards: 717

• Completion Percentage: 68%

• Touchdowns: 3

• Interceptions: 3