There’s just a matter of days left until the San Francisco 49ers take on the Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl for the second time in five years.
While many of the pregame headlines revolve around the quarterback dichotomy between the two-time MVP, Patrick Mahomes, and Mr. Irrelevant, Brock Purdy, Taylor Swift’s journey to the Big Game, and the disparate practice conditions, our primary focus is finding the best parlay betting picks for the matchup.
With that in mind, let’s take a look at a 49ers vs. Chiefs Super Bowl parlay we whipped up featuring our favorite betting picks and props.
Chiefs moneyline
Christian McCaffrey under 91.5 rushing yards
Patrick Mahomes over 1.5 passing touchdowns
Travis Kelce anytime TD scorer
George Kittle 3+ receptions
Total odds (+587) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, current as of 2/9/24. Use our promo code and head over to FanDuel to place your Big Game parlay bets!
The Chiefs allowed the second-fewest points and yards and generated the second-most sacks per game. They also seem to have completely fixed their offensive issues and are playing their best ball of the season while looking like the most physical team in the league. The Niners were arguably outplayed in both of their playoff games, don’t have a player as strong as Mahomes or a unit as strong as the Chiefs’ D, and are inexperienced compared to their opponent.
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The Chiefs forced all three playoff opponents to play games they didn’t want to play, whether that be taking the explosive play away from Tua Tagovailoa and Josh Allen or shutting down the Baltimore Ravens’ top-ranked rushing attack. McCaffrey mostly trended over this line but went under in two of his last three and could have the ball taken out of his hands if the Chiefs go up and the Niners are forced to throw the ball.
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Mahomes looks like he’s in total control of everything going on around him. Weirdly, he only threw multiple touchdowns once in his last five games, but he has not thrown an interception in an NFL-record six straight playoff games and dismantled Baltimore’s defense last week. He’s one of the greatest playoff performances ever and should have his best game ahead of him against a defense that allowed an average of 29 points in the postseason.
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Kelce scored 18 TDs in 17 playoff games with Mahomes and caught three TDs in the last two weeks. He leads the Chiefs in all major postseason-receiving categories and seems to have a new life about him over the last month or so. Every defense wants to take him away, but his chemistry with Mahomes, especially near the goal line, makes him too strong of a bet to pass up.
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Kittle caught 3+ passes in 10 of his last 12 games, even though he only managed two receptions in the NFC Championship Game. The Chiefs do a tremendous job of taking away opposing teams’ number-one receivers but aren’t great with fringe number-ones, which Kittle is. Watch for the Niners to go to their play-action game and look for their All-Pro tight end bustling across the middle of the field.
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What: San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
When: Sunday, February 11 at 6:30 PM EST
Where: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV
TV: CBS
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