Best SNF Prop Bets Week 5

To end the Sunday slate of Week 5 of the NFL season, we have two AFC North teams set to battle—the Cincinnati Bengals traveling against the Baltimore Ravens.

Both teams sitting at 2-2, this game still has massive AFC North and playoff-seeding implications. Both of these teams want to make a splash in the postseason—the Bengals were in the Super Bowl last year—so beating one another is a massive part of that.

Here, we’ll look at four props from this game you need to bet on.

Lamar Jackson Any Time Touchdown (+160) at Caesars

While wide receiver Rashod Bateman hasn’t been a massive part of the offense lately, his being out forces Jackson to mobile a bit more, even though he wasn’t targeted or went for over 100 yards, Bateman on the field helps the rest of the receiving options.

If Bateman is out, the passing game is a bit more one-dimensional, and Jackson is the team’s best runner.

Against a division opponent, they know that, sure, but Jackson will need to take the matter into his own hands in a game where the total closes in on 50 points.

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Joe Burrow Over 24.5 Completions (-105) at DraftKings

While Burrow hasn’t been fantastic this year, he gets a Ravens defense allowing a league-high 315.3 passing yards per game.

Seven players on the Ravens have allowed 100 yards or more in coverage, too.

Burrow throws a lot of passes behind the line of scrimmage or up to nine yards.

In all, 61.5% of Burrow’s passes come from behind the line of scrimmage (12.8%) or 0-9 yards (48.7%). Six of Burrow’s eight touchdown passes have come on these shorter passes.

Burrow should be able to easily complete passes in this one, as both teams score plenty of points.

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Joe Mixon Over 16.5 Carries (-110) at BetMGM

While we project Burrow to over 24.5 completions, you may wonder how Mixon will get all these carries.

This is a good question, but it has a lot to do with how often the team insists on getting him the ball.

This season, Burrow has 82 carries. His game-low was 12 in Week 3, but he had 24 in Week 4.

For any other player averaging just 2.7 yards per carry, we’d anticipate them going under 16.5 carries, but under head coach Zac Taylor we’ve seen the team adamant about getting Mixon involved.

Unless the Ravens take a quick early lead, Mixon should see around 20 carries in this one.

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Joe Burrow Under 0.5 Interceptions (-120) at DraftKings

Going back to Burrow’s affinity for shorter passes, it’s just far more unlikely he’ll throw an interception.

On these shorter passes, Burrow has just one interception. Against this squishy Ravens defense, it’s hard to imagine he throws one here.

The Ravens have seven total interceptions, but most of these come from secondary players, where Burrow doesn’t seem to go to as often. He could look there as the Bengals have had success against the Ravens in the past with wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase, but this should be an all-out offensive showdown with both defenses struggling to contain their opponent.

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