Best Saquon Barkley Prop Bets: Fade Saquon Against the Ravens Front Seven

• Saquon Barkley is the current betting favorite for the Offensive Player of the Year award

• Philadelphia has a 2.5 game lead for first in the NFC East division standings

• Baltimore’s front seven ranks top-15 in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, and Adjusted Line Yards

Since signing with Philadelphia, Saquon Barkley has played a major role in the Eagles hot start to the season while his odds to win the Offensive Player of the Year award continue to grow. With his rushing production in their backfield, the Eagles offense have been one of the more lethal units in the league and have helped Philadelphia get off to a 2.5 game lead for first place in the NFC East division standings with only six games remaining in the regular season.

Unfortunately for Saquon, negative regression may be looming large as he faces his toughest test yet with the Baltimore Ravens front seven excelling at stopping the run. Heading into Sunday, the Ravens defense ranks top-15 in Def Rush Success Rate, DVOA, EPA, and Adjusted Line Yards. Saquon may also see a decrease in carries as the Eagles best path for success resides through the air with the Ravens secondary struggling mightily in coverage.

As for where to wager on Saquon Barkley’s player props, Caesars Sportsbook has a wide range of markets for their users to choose from and at very favorable odds when compared to the rest of the mobile apps. If you have not signed up yet with Caesars Sportsbook and are looking to get in on the action, you can bet $1 and double your winnings on your next 10 bets with the WSN promo code WSNDYW.

Under 92.5 Rushing Yards (-113) at Caesars Sportsbook

After leaving the New York Giants for the Philadelphia Eagles, Saquon Barkley has seemingly looked rejuvenated as he continues to terrorize opposing defenses with his elite running ability. A little over the halfway point of the season, Barkley has run for 1,392 yards while generating an average of 6.2 yards per carry. His individual production has directly contributed to the Eagles high marks on offense as Philadelphia’s ground game ranks above league average in Rush DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate.

An impressive feat while the Eagles front line continues to get pushed back from the snap as Philadelphia also ranks below league average in Adjusted Line Yards. That spells potential disaster when matched up against the Ravens front seven as Baltimore excels at stuffing the run, entering the contest ranked top-15 in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, and Adjusted Line Yards. Factor in Hurts receiving an uptick in pass attempts and Barkley may be in for a lighter workload to help cash the under on this prop.

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Longest Rush Under 15.5 Yards (-117) at Caesars Sportsbook

Not only will Saquon have to deal with relentless contact in the trenches, but gaining yards past the line will also be a struggle as the Ravens anchor their linebackers at a high rate. With bodies spread across the second level of their defense, Saquon will have little room to work with in his efforts of creating an explosive play. Especially after being slowed down by their front line, giving the Ravens linebackers the opportunity to crash down after recognizing the run.

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Anytime Touchdown (-160) at FanDuel Sportsbook

In what is expected to be a tight contest between two Super Bowl contenders, maximizing the efficiency of your trips in the red zone is vital. Even with the Ravens grading out poorly in coverage, Baltimore’s back end can mask their struggles by being able to stretch out in the shortened field. To counter against their coverage and help limit the amount of negative variance, the Eagles would be better off reverting to the run up the middle or bouncing Barkley to the outside.

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First Touchdown Scorer (+450) at Caesars Sportsbook

For some extra excitement, place a smaller wager on Saquon to score the first touchdown in the contest as the Eagles offense has a more favorable path to get into scoring territory. While the Ravens offense is an elite unit in their own right, they do not get the benefit of picking apart a glaring weakness to sustain drives down the field as the Eagles defense ranks above league average in both Def Pass and Rush DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, Adjusted Sack Rate, and Adjusted Line Yards. 

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Saquon Barkley 2024 Stats

• Total Rushing Yards: 1,392

• Total Carries: 223

• Total Rushing Touchdowns: 10

• Average Yards Per Carry: 6.2

• Total Receptions: 27

• Total Receiving Yards: 257