The NFL is down to just eight teams and four games this weekend in the Divisional Round of the playoffs. But that’s not going to stop us from putting together a great NFL parlay for the weekend. Here is our parlay for this week featuring one bet from each of the four games.
Lines courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. Visit DraftKings using our link to sign up and claim $200 in bonus bets.
Pick | Odds | Payout (Increasing with each leg, top to bottom) |
---|---|---|
C.J. Stroud Over 245.1 Passing Yards | -115 BET HERE | $10 to win $18.69 |
Packers +10.5 | -135 BET HERE | $10 to win $32.54 |
Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 89.5 Receiving Yards | -125 BET HERE | $10 to win $58.57 |
Bills ML | -142 BET HERE | $10 to win $99.83 |
After his performance last week and in the two weeks before that since returning from a concussion, there is no reason to doubt Stroud. This isn’t that big of a number for him, which is why it’s not hard to envision Stroud being able to hit it, even against a tough Baltimore defense.
Obviously, the Ravens are going to be stingy defensively, especially at home. But Stroud was cool, calm, and collected against a strong Cleveland defense last week, averaging 13 yards per pass in the biggest game of his young career. Keep in mind that Stroud actually had 242 passing yards against the Ravens in Week 1. That was a game in which the Texans managed just three field goals. Stroud has come a long way since then and should easily put up better numbers on Saturday.
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Since this is a parlay, we teased the line a little bit to give the Packers 10.5 points. That might be more than they need, but why not be safe? This isn’t a slight against the 49ers, who will likely find a way to win the game. However, keep in mind that San Francisco is 0-5 against the spread in its last five home games. It’s also possible that the 49ers are a little rusty after sitting key starters in Week 18 and having Wild Card Weekend off. That’s made some teams vulnerable in the past, which is why this won’t be a cakewalk for them.
Jordan Love is the other reason why this won’t be an easy game for San Francisco. He has grown by leaps and bounds since the start of the season, and the same can be said of Green Bay's young receiving corps as well. Love has completed over 70% of his passes in four of his last five games and has 12 touchdown passes with no interceptions in those five games. The Packers were unstoppable against a top-5 Dallas defense last week, so they’ll have a fighting chance against San Francisco’s defense this week. I like Love to keep it going and at least keep the Packers close in this game.
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The Detroit offense has been clicking for the past month with St. Brown front and center. Including their win over the Rams last week, the Lions are averaging 29 points per game in their last five games. St. Brown has hit 90 receiving yards in each of those games and gone over 100 receiving yards in four of those five games. Jared Goff is looking for St. Brown, who has been tough to contain.
While Tampa’s defense has looked good in recent weeks, the Bucs haven’t faced that many quality quarterbacks or top-notch wide receivers during that span. Keep in mind the Bucs didn’t have to face A.J. Brown last week while DeVonta Smith hit them for 148 yards on eight catches. Even though Goff will spread the ball around, St. Brown is still his top target and a good candidate to do some damage after the catch, giving him an excellent chance to go for 90-plus receiving yards yet again.
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It’s no secret that the Chiefs have knocked the Bills out of the playoffs twice in the last three years. But both of those games were played at Arrowhead Stadium, and now Patrick Mahomes and company will have to face the Bills on the road. Despite getting past the Dolphins last week, the Chiefs haven’t been at their best this season and haven’t been overly convincing lately. Even with last week’s win, Kansas City was just 2-4 this season against teams that made the playoffs, and both wins came against Miami.
Meanwhile, the Bills look like a different team over the past month, winning five in a row. They are the better team right now and look more like a Super Bowl contender than Kansas City. In a parlay, we won’t worry about the spread because Chiefs-Bills games can get crazy. But we expect Buffalo to triumph at home and finally knock off the Chiefs in the playoffs.
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