NFL Prop Bets Week 8: Best NFL Player Props

With the Minnesota Vikings knocking off the San Francisco 49ers on Monday Night Football, we’re officially moving on to Thursday Night Football for Week 8 between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Buffalo Bills.

In Week 8, no teams are on bye, but the trade deadline is looming. We could see some new faces land in new places soon.

All that being said, we have three prop bets you should consider making as we approach the weekend.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Buffalo Bills

Pick: Gabe Davis Under 39.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at DraftKings

We’re always intrigued by Gabe Davis whenever we dig into his stats.

The No. 2 option to Stefon Diggs, Davis has those explosive outings, but more often than not, it seems as though he’s borderline invisible.

Take the last two weeks, for example—he has four catches on seven targets for 27 yards combined. In Week 5, he went for 100 and a touchdown.

Looking at his line here of 39.5, he’s gone for 40 or more receiving yards in just three games this year.

This week, he’ll face the Buccaneers, who have an interesting defense. Playing on the outside, he’ll matchup primarily against Jamel Dean and Carlton Davis III.

Dean has allowed 20 receptions on 26 targets for 233 yards. However, in his two most recent games, he’s allowed eight catches on nine targets but just for a combined 38 yards. Since Week 1, Davis III has played in three games and allowed just 72 yards combined.

The defense is improving, especially in the secondary. This could be a spot for a letdown game for the Bills or, at the very least, the Buccaneers covering the spread. 

Look for another tough outing from Davis here.

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Pick: Josh Allen Under 1.5 Passing TDs (+114) at DraftKings

Piggybacking off of Davis’ analysis above, yeah, this secondary has improved since some early season lulls. 

This season, the Buccaneers are allowing just one passing touchdown per game. In their last game, they didn’t allow a single one. Since Week 1, they’ve allowed multiple touchdowns in just one game, and that was to Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions. 

To be fair, the Buccaneers have played some easier competition, but they also held Jalen Hurts, a notable runner, under two touchdowns. 

Allen might not be as fluid as Hurts, but he can still run. He’ll have some ferocious pass rushers coming at him, too, with Shaquil Barrett and Vita Vea. 

Again, this could be a spot for a letdown game or more low-scoring. 

Take the under here at “+” money. 

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Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots

Pick: MIA Drive 1 to Include 20+ Yard Reception (+180) at Caesars

Facing the Patriots at home, we think Miami has an excellent chance to come out of the gate hot. They struggled against the Eagles on the road and will now face a more familiar opponent with a weakened defense since they last met in Week 2. 

In Week 2, Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill was held to just 40 yards, but now, he’ll face outside corners Jonathan Jones and J.C. Jackson. 

Jackson has managed to hold receivers to just 8.2 yards per reception since coming to the Patriots, but he did allow seven receptions on ten targets against the Bills. As for Jones, he didn’t allow any catches on 27 coverage snaps, but Bills wide receiver Gabe Davis, as mentioned above, wasn’t much of a factor. In Week 5, Jones allowed 23.4 yards per reception, allowing five catches to the Las Vegas Raiders.

Hill will break loose here against a team that kept him locked down earlier this season. 

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All statistics courtesy of Pro Football Focus.