NFL Prop Bets Week 5: Best NFL Player Props

Week 5 of the NFL season is here, kicking off with the Washington Commanders and Chicago Bears on Thursday Night Football and concluding with the Green Bay Packers and Las Vegas Raiders on Monday.

Below are the three best prop bets for week 5 of NFL action.

Washington Commanders vs. Chicago Bears

Pick: Cole Kmet Under 3.5 Receptions (-170) at DraftKings

Coming off a great week 4 performance, we’re seeing a bit of an inflated reception line for Kmet, and we’re going to capitalize on it.

In Week 4, Kmet caught seven passes for 85 yards and two touchdowns.

Prior to this, Kmet had just 11 receptions and 104 yards all season.

Going up against the Commanders on a short week, Kmet will matchup primarily with Commanders linebacker Jamin Davis, who’s allowed more than three receptions in a game just once, coming against the Buffalo Bills.

Yes, -170 is great, but this feels like a surefire bet to capitalize on.

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Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Pick: Gabe Davis Under 2.5 Receptions (+105) at DraftKings

While Gabe Davis has caught a touchdown in three straight games, he’s not exactly racking up the receptions this season. Through four games, Davis has 12 receptions, with six of those coming in Week 2 against the Raiders. He had two in Week 1, one in Week 3, and three in Week 4 against the Dolphins.

Up against the Jaguars across the pond, the Bills and Davis will face a cornerback duo consisting of Tyson Campbell and Darious Williams. Based on alignments, Davis should see more of Williams, who has a 61.1% reception rate, five pass breakups, and one interception.

This is going to be a difficult secondary to pass on, and Davis should see limited receptions.

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Pick: Trevor Lawrence Under 1.5 Passing TDs (-133) at Caesars

Heading into Week 5 and staying across the pond, Lawrence has four passing touchdowns this season. His only multi-touchdown performance came in Week 1 against the Indianapolis Colts, where he threw two. Other than that, he’s thrown two touchdowns over the past three weeks and now takes on a ferocious Bills pass rush.

The secondary for the Bills got weaker last week, with cornerback Tre’Davious White tearing his Achilles. However, Lawrence’s offensive line has struggled this season, and while Cam Robinson is back, it’s his first game back going up against a combination of Leonard Floyd and Greg Rousseau, depending on how the Bills utilize them this week.

Jaguars center Luke Fortner will also have his work cut out for him against defensive tackle DaQuan Jones, who’s having a career year.

Look for Lawrence to feel the pressure in this one and pass for just one touchdown.

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*All statistics courtesy of Pro Football Focus.