We conclude Week 15 of the NFL season with the Green Bay Packers hosting the Los Angeles Rams and quarterback Baker Mayfield.
Here, we’ll explore the three best prop bets for this game.
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Cobb may get fewer snaps than other wide receivers on the team. Still, he’s in a prime position this week to benefit from challenging cornerback play from the Los Angeles Rams on the outside.
Cobb is sixth on the team with snaps played when running a route (180) but is second in route percentage (96.3).
The point is—he may not play as much as other receivers (he was also out for several weeks), but when he does, he’s running routes and giving himself a chance to make a play.
Cobb has had 14 targets since Week 11. He did have 11 in Week 5 against Giants, but then got hurt in Week 6 before returning in that Week 11 game.
In Week 11, Cobb had 73 yards; in Week 12, he had just 19 but also caught a touchdown.
Against the Rams, Cobb will matchup primarily with Rams cornerback Cobie Durant. Durant has only played 55 coverage snaps this season, allowing 12.8 yards per reception.
Look for the veteran receiver to put some work in on the young player while Christian Watson and Allen Lazard battle with Jalen Ramsey and Troy Hill on the outside.
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Rodgers’ passing yardage line of 233.5 reflects a more pass-heavy approach for him. Over the last four weeks, Rodgers hasn’t cleared this line once, including in back-to-back games with less than 185 passing yards.
Against the Rams, Rodgers will have a nice matchup with Cobb out of the slot, and Watson is always a threat, but this is setting up to be much more of a run-heavy approach.
Over the last three games, the Rams are allowing 124 rushing yards per game, including allowing 165 just last week.
Look for the Packers to run the ball effectively here with Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon.
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While it’s hard to take a lot away from Mayfield’s Week 14 performance due to how much of an outlier the situation was, we can all agree it was awe-inspiring.
A big part of Mayfield’s success was Atwell out of the slot. He saw a team-high nine targets, catching five of them and going for 50 yards.
Atwell has just one touchdown this year, but out of the slot, he’ll see a lot of Keisean Nixon, who’s played 137 coverage snaps and is allowing a catch rate of 75%.
Look for Mayfield to funnel targets to Atwell again here due to this favorable matchup.
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