The New England Patriots look to improve to 7-6 as they head west to take on the Arizona Cardinals who are just 4-8.
Here, we’ll look at the three best player props for this game.
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Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray hasn’t been playing all that well lately when it comes to passing the ball. He’s thrown for less than 200 yards in two straight games he was active (Week 9 and 12) but did have two passing touchdowns in each.
However, he’s been running reasonably well over the last two weeks, getting four designed runs in Weeks 9 and 12.
In Week 12, he had over 50 yards rushing and a touchdown.
The Cardinals' offensive line has played relatively well in pass protection. Still, they’re facing a tough Patriots pass-rushing unit with Deatrich Wise Jr., Josh Uche, and Matthew Judon.
This should make Murray scramble more than usual. In addition to the four designed runs, he had three scrambles.
If this pass rush can create pressure on Murray, him having 10 carries is still possible. Murray hasn’t played that well this season, but we’ll bet on him to land in the end zone when he gets that many attempts.
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These odds aren’t exactly exciting, but this should be the spot for Stevenson to get it going again.
Getting destroyed against the Bills last week, Stevenson still ran for over 50 yards on 10 carries but also had six receptions.
He’s had no less than seven targets since Week 6.
Against the Cardinals as road favorites, there should be a better game script for Stevenson here, who’s the most reliable offensive weapon on the team.
Expect 20+ touches for Stevenson and find the end zone.
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After signing a rather large contract when he came to New England, it wouldn’t be surprising if you forgot who Jonnu Smith is.
This season, he’s averaging just 10.4 snaps per game in which he’s running a route.
He has 29 targets this season, no more than four in a game, and just two total targets over the past two weeks.
His yards per catch is 9.1 yards, so two catches could get it done here, but fellow tight end Hunter Henry isn’t on the injury report and should see a full snap count.
Of all the Patriots receiving options, Henry has the most route-running snaps.
To put it in perspective, Smith has fewer snaps when running a route than Tyquan Thornton, a rookie wide receiver.
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