Week 12 of the NFL season concludes as the Indianapolis Colts host the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Can the Colts improve to 2-1 under interim head coach Jeff Saturday? Can the Steelers start adding some wins to their record?
Let’s explore this one by looking at single-player prop bets.
With Frank Reich as his head coach, Matt Ryan was playing terribly. He was so terrible that he was benched for Sam Ehlinger; that was also not very good.
When Saturday took over the Colts, they re-inserted Ryan into the starting lineup.
In those two games, Ryan has completed 44 of 60 passes and has just one turnover-worthy play, according to Pro Football Focus.
Against the Steelers, the pressure from the pass rush could be tough on Ryan, but the coverage unit for the Steelers shouldn’t pose much of a threat as they allow over 270 yards per game.
This season, 64.7% of his attempts are either behind the line of scrimmage or between 0-9 yards.
Expect another clean game from Ryan.
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Pittman hasn’t scored since Week 1, but since Ryan has come back, he’s averaging eight targets, 6.5 receptions, and 68 yards receiving.
Against the Steelers, Pittman will draw matchups against Cameron Sutton and Levi Wallace.
Sutton has allowed 23 receptions this year for 284 yards and three touchdowns, and Wallace has allowed 28 receptions for 449 yards and two scores.
Ryan is averaging 30 attempts per game over his last two and has just one touchdown. However, this is a plus matchup for Pittman against these corners.
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Traveling on the road to take on the Colts, the Steelers and quarterback Kenny Pickett will need to contend with cornerback Stephon Gilmore. While he’ll also matchup with George Pickens, Gilmore has nearly a 50/50 snap split at both right and left outside cornerback.
On top of that, Johnson has topped 45.5 receiving yards five times this season but only once since Week 5.
The receiving yards aren’t because of a lack of targets either—Johnson is averaging 7.2 per game since that Week 5 performance of 12 targets, five receptions, and 60 yards.
The Steelers will try to get running back Najee Harris going again after rushing for two scores. That could also take some opportunities out of Johnson’s hands.
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