Best Matthew Stafford Prop Bets: Can Stafford Help the Rams Stay Hot Against Jets?

• Matthew Stafford has thrown for over 240 yards in six of his last seven games.

• The Jets have allowed the fewest touchdown passes in 2024.

• Matthew Stafford has gone five straight games without throwing an interception.

With four wins in their last five games, the Los Angeles Rams are among the hottest teams in the NFL heading into Week 16. Currently, the Rams are tied with the Seahawks atop the NFC West, so they will play three meaningful games to close out the regular season. Naturally, Matthew Stafford has played a big role in the team’s recent success, throwing 10 touchdown passes and no interceptions over his last five games. That makes him someone worth targeting with prop bets in Week 16 when the Rams head East to play the Jets, who have been eliminated from playoff contention. 

If you want to place prop bets on Stafford or any other player, bet365 Sportsbook is an excellent platform to use. There is a wide selection of player props, as well as competitive odds available. Plus, now is a great time to sign up with bet365. New users have the choice of receiving $150 in bonus bets if their first bet is $5 or having a safety net of up to $1,000 for their first wager. Most sportsbooks give new customers one or the other, but at bet365 Sportsbook, you get to choose.

As mentioned, Stafford is aiming to help lead the Rams to an NFC West title. The current NFC West odds are among the tightest in the league with just three weeks left to play. The Rams are also a deep sleeper when it comes to Super Bowl LIX odds. Of course, for the immediate future, here are three Stafford prop bets for Week 16 that are worth considering. 

Matthew Stafford Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+100) at bet365 Sportsbook 

Until last week’s pitiful offensive showing by the Rams (and the 49ers), Stafford had been on a roll. He had thrown multiple touchdown passes in four straight games and six times in his last seven games. However, he had trouble connecting with his receivers last week, so there is no guarantee that he’ll be able to quickly get back on track. Plus, the Rams have had a lot of success running the ball into the end zone with Kyren Williams, taking some pressure off Stafford.

It’s also worth noting that the Jets are tied for the fewest passing touchdowns allowed. Granted, the last two quarterbacks to face the Jets have thrown multiple touchdown passes. But for the most part, the New York defense has been stingy in this area. The presence of Sauce Gardner also helps to take at least one Rams wide receiver out of the equation on any given play. That will make it harder for Stafford to throw multiple touchdown passes in this game, giving under 1.5 touchdown passes good value.

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Matthew Stafford Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook 

This line for Stafford has come down a little, so a lot of money is being placed on the under. However, there are reasons to think that taking the over is the right call. Again, last week’s game looks bad, as Stafford finished with just 160 passing yards. But he went over 240 yards in six of his previous seven games. In fact, Stafford has gone over 290 passing yards in four of his last eight games. Even with Gardner making things more difficult, the Rams have plenty of options in the passing game, allowing Stafford to spread the ball around and rack up plenty of yards.

In fairness, the Jets have allowed the fifth-fewest passing yards in the NFL this season, around 214 yards per game. However, Stafford ranks eighth in the league in passing yards. In that sense, he’s an above-average quarterback who should be able to throw for more than 214 yards against the Jets. It’s also worth noting that four of the last five quarterbacks to face the Jets have thrown for over 260 yards. If Kyler Murray and Anthony Richardson can put up big numbers against the New York defense, Stafford can surely do the same. 

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Matthew Stafford Under 0.5 Interceptions (-115) at bet365 Sportsbook 

Despite being good at preventing passing touchdowns, the Jets have not been good at forcing turnovers this season. The New York defense has just four interceptions, which is tied for the second-fewest in the league. Needless to say, after just four interceptions in 14 games, the odds are against the Jets being able to force an interception from Stafford this week. Yet, the odds are even, so the best bet is on Stafford avoiding an interception.

Obviously, Stafford has had plenty of interceptions throughout his career. That includes a stretch this season in which he threw a pick in six consecutive games. However, the Rams have won three in a row and four of their last five games in part because Stafford has taken better care of the ball. He’s gone five straight games without throwing an interception, so there is every reason to think he can make it six straight games given the difficulty the Jets have had this year at forcing picks.

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Matthew Stafford 2024 Stats

After Week 15, here are Matthew Stafford’s current stats:

• Pass Completions: 309

• Pass Attempts: 466

• Completion Percentage: 66.3%

• Passing Yards: 3,463

• Touchdown Passes: 19

• Interceptions: 7

• Yards Per Pass: 7.4

• QB Rating: 95.6