Best Justin Herbert Prop Bets: McConkey’s Injury a Potential Major Blow to the Chargers Offense

• The Kansas City Chiefs have a three game lead over the Los Angeles Chargers in the AFC West

• Ladd McConkey is currently listed as questionable on the Chargers injury report

• The Chiefs defense ranks top-5 in Blitz Rate, Pressure Rate, and Adjusted Line Yards

After entering the year with a projected win total of 8.5, the Los Angeles Chargers are just one win away from clearing the over on their projection. The Chargers have been one of the more surprising success stories this season as Jim Harbaugh has managed to turn them around in his first year as their head coach. Not only are the Chargers in a great position to make the playoffs, but they are still in contention for the AFC West division title should they manage to upset the reigning Super Bowl champions on Sunday.

Unfortunately for the Chargers, Justin Herbert may be in for some regression as he will be under relentless pressure against the Kansas City Chiefs' heavy blitz scheme. Especially when his own offensive line struggles to give him the protection he needs to combat against pressure. To make matters worse for Herbert, he may also be without his top wideout as Ladd McConkey is currently listed as questionable on the Chargers' injury report after he suffered a knee injury against the Atlanta Falcons last weekend.

As for where to wager on Justin Herbert’s player props, Caesars Sportsbook has an abundance of markets for their users to choose from and at very favorable odds when compared to the rest of the mobile apps. If you have not signed up yet with Caesars Sportsbook and are looking to get in on the action, you can bet $1 and double your winnings on your next 10 bets with the WSN promo code WSNDYW.

Under 230.5 Passing Yards (-117) at Caesars Sportsbook

While the Los Angeles Chargers defense hogs most of the spotlight after an 8-4 start to the season, their offense has quietly been very competitive as they currently rank top-15 in both Pass and Rush DVOA. Justin Herbert elevating his level of production and avoiding injury has played a major role in their success, even while being surrounded by one of the more underwhelming group of pass catchers in the league.

With Ladd McConkey listed as questionable, Herbert may be in for some harsh regression as he loses his top consistent target. Especially with his ground game struggling to command defensive attention towards the middle of the field to help free up space on the outside as Gus Edwards has failed to replicate JK Dobbins level of production since the starting running back went down with an injury. Even if McConkey plays, expect the injured receiver to struggle with creating separation away from the Chiefs coverage.

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Longest Completion Under 36.5 Yards (-113) at Caesars Sportsbook

Not only will Herbert potentially be without his top wideout, but may find himself with less time in the pocket as the Chiefs excel at creating pressure as their top-5 marks in Def Adjusted Line Yards, Blitz Rate, and Pressure Rate indicates. Their ability to collapse the pocket at a consistent rate spells disaster for Herbert as his offensive line fails to give him the protection he needs to let plays develop. As of writing, the Chargers' front line ranks near dead last in both Off Adjusted Line Yards and Adjusted Sack Rate.

McConkey’s injury also leaves the Chargers void of consistent pass catchers, allowing the Chiefs to continue to blitz at one of the heaviest rates in the league knowing their secondary should have no issue with smothering their receivers in single coverage. Especially when in the middle of the field as Herbert has struggled with staying ahead of the sticks as the Chargers' pass attack ranks in the bottom half of the board in Off Pass Success Rate.

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Over 0.5 Interception (-129) at Caesars Sportsbook

Not only will the Chiefs pressure force Herbert to get the ball out of his hands quicker than he would like, but it may also lead to an uptick in turnover-worthy plays due to an increase in havoc. While Herbert has excelled at taking care of the ball as he has thrown only one interception this season, the lower-quality passing lanes and Chiefs' smothering coverage may lead to a second one on Sunday.

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Justin Herbert 2024 Stats

• Total Passing Yards: 2,551

• Total Passing Touchdowns: 13

• Completion Percentage: 63.4%

• Average Pass Yards per Attempt: 7.6

• Average Pass Yards per Game: 212.6

• Total Interceptions: 1