Josh Allen is currently one of the betting favorites for the MVP award
The Buffalo Bills pass attack ranks above league average in Pass DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate
Amari Cooper finished his first contest with the Bills hauling in 4 receptions for 66 yards and 1 touchdown
At 5-2, the Buffalo Bills currently have a sizable lead over the rest of the division in the AFC East division standings and are steadily climbing up the oddsboard for the Super Bowl as well. Entering week eight, the Bills rank above league average on both sides of the ball in DVOA and Success Rate while Josh Allen continues to pace a majority of the league in quarterback EPA per Play and Completion Percentage Above Expected.
With Josh Allen playing at an NFL MVP caliber level, the Bills' pass attack will have the opportunity to thrive against a reeling Seattle Seahawks secondary who enters the contest ranked below league average in Def Pass DVOA and EPA. Especially after acquiring Amari Cooper in a trade with the Cleveland Browns as he has already made an immediate impact by finishing his first contest with Buffalo hauling in 4 receptions for 66 receiving yards and 1 receiving touchdown.
As for where to wager on Josh Allen player props, Caesars Sportsbook has an abundance of markets for their users to choose from and at very favorable odds when compared to the rest of the mobile apps. If you have not signed up yet with Caesars Sportsbook, you can get up to $1,000 back in the form of bonus bets should you lose your first wager after creating an account with the WSN promo code WSN1000.
While Josh Allen was already thriving before the acquisition of Amari Cooper, the Bills' star quarterback is now expected to elevate his level of production even more now that he finally has a star-caliber receiver to throw to this season. That brings an added level of excitement to the Bills' pass attack as they already rank above league average in Pass DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate, potentially making them even more dangerous with opposing defenses having to shade their coverage toward Amari Cooper.
Should Cooper command defensive attention, then that opens up holes in coverage elsewhere on the field for the Bills' secondary pass catchers to exploit and give Allen higher-quality passing lanes for him to throw to. With the Seahawks secondary struggling to defend at a league-average rate in terms of Def Pass DVOA and EPA, expect Allen to string together another productive outing through the air to help clear the over on his passing yards prop.
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Even though Allen may be in for a big game in terms of volume, he is flirting with negative regression as he currently ranks near the top of the board in turnover-worthy plays while managing to not throw a pick so far this season. Even with the Seahawks' secondary projected to struggle with defending against the Bills' revamped pass attack, Allen may be prone to making an ill-advised throw as the Seahawks' defensive line has excelled at creating pressure by ranking top-10 in Pressure Rate and Adjusted Sack Rate.
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While generating pass production should come at a consistent rate when in the middle of the field, the Bills may be better off reverting to the run when in the red zone. Stopping the run has been an issue for the Seahawks this season as they enter the contest ranked well below league average in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, and Adjusted Line Yards. Running the ball also neutralizes the variance that comes with Josh Allen’s arm as the Seahawks' secondary gets the benefit of stretching out in coverage with less ground to cover.
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Correlating this prop with the previously mentioned one, Josh Allen’s legs will continue to terrorize opposing defenses when in scoring position as he can burn them in scrambling situations and in designed runs. Allen may also receive an uptick in scrambling opportunities as the Seahawks excel at creating pressure as previously mentioned. Be sure to line shop when targeting an anytime touchdown scorer prop as the listed odds can drastically vary between each sportsbook.
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Passing Yards: 1,483
Passing Touchdowns: 12
Completion Percentage: 63.0%
Average Yards per Completion: 7.8
Average Yards per Game: 211.9
Interceptions: 0
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