Best Jayden Daniels Prop Bets: Is Daniels Out of His Slump Coming Out of Bye Week?

• Jayden Daniels has thrown five touchdown passes over his last two games.

• The Saints have allowed the fifth-most passing yards in the NFL.

• Four of the last eight quarterbacks to face the Saints have thrown multiple touchdown passes against them.

After an incredible start to the season, Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders were brought back down to earth in November thanks to a three-game losing streak. However, Daniels and the Commanders seemed to break out of that slump in Week 13 with a lopsided win over the Titans. The question is whether Daniels can keep it going following Washington’s bye in Week 14. That could make it a little tricky to make prop bets involving Daniels in Week 15 when the Commanders visit the New Orleans Saints.

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As for Daniels, heading into the stretch run of the season, he remains at the top of the list of contenders for Offensive Rookie of the Year. Meanwhile, the Commanders are still alive for a division title, even if their current NFC East odds are starting to slip. Finally, if you’re interested in making a prop bet on Daniels in Week 15, here are three bets to consider.

Jayden Daniels Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+110) at bet365 Sportsbook 

Based on the numbers, the Saints have been among the best teams in the NFL at preventing passing touchdowns. However, much of the success for the New Orleans defense this season came in September and October. Even with three wins in their last four games, the Saints have been a lot more vulnerable through the air. Two of the last three quarterbacks to face New Orleans have thrown multiple touchdown passes while four of the last eight quarterbacks to play the Saints have crossed that threshold.

That’s a good indicator for Daniels heading into Week 15. Surprisingly, he only has five games this season with multiple touchdown passes. But two of those games have come in Washington’s last two games. He’s come out of his recent slump and looks a little more comfortable with his wide receivers. With plus odds for this bet, there is definitely value with Daniels having multiple touchdown passes this week.

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Jayden Daniels Over 212.5 Passing Yards (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook 

If we’re banking on Daniels throwing multiple touchdown passes, we might as well lean toward him to also throw for a lot of yards. Oddly enough, the Saints have given up a lot of yards through the air despite being somewhat stingy with regard to passing touchdowns. The New Orleans defense has yielded the fifth-most passing yards in the NFL, conceding over 260 passing yards per game. Four of the last six quarterbacks to face the Saints have gone over 212.5 passing yards, some by huge margins.

That’s another good indicator for Daniels despite his lack of consistency with his passing totals this year. He’s gone over 212.5 passing yards just once in his last five games. That’s a big reason why this number is so low. However, when things were going well for him early in the season, Daniels topped 212.5 passing yards five times in the first six games of the season. He has a chance to recapture that coming back from a bye, allowing him to accumulate plenty of passing yards against the Saints.

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Jayden Daniels Over 0.5 Interceptions (+105) at bet365 Sportsbook 

While the Saints give up the fifth-most passing yards, they have also accumulated the fifth-most interceptions in the NFL this year. The New Orleans defense has 13 interceptions in 13 games, so it makes sense to take plus odds on Daniels throwing one in Week 15. To be fair, a lot of those interceptions came early in the season against quarterbacks like Bryce Young, Dak Prescott, and Baker Mayfield. But the Saints did force Drew Lock into an interception last week and could do the same against a rookie like Daniels this week.

Keep in mind that this is an area where Daniels has shown some regression. He has thrown six picks in 13 games this season, although four of those interceptions have come in his last three games. Daniels even had an interception against a lackluster Tennessee defense in his last game. The bye week may not be enough for Daniels to get past his recent troubles with ball security, especially on the road against a defense with a good track record of forcing interceptions. 

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Jayden Daniels 2024 Stats

After Week 14, here are Jayden Daniels’ current stats:

• Pass Completions: 252

• Pass Attempts: 362

• Completion Percentage: 69.6%

• Passing Yards: 2,819

• Touchdown Passes: 15

• Interceptions: 6

• Yards Per Pass: 7.8

• QB Rating: 99.4

• Rushing Yards: 590

• Carries: 108

• Yards Per Carry: 5.5

• Rushing Touchdowns: 6