Best Jayden Daniels Prop Bets: Back the Star Rookie Quarterback to Lean More on His Legs

• The Washington Commanders beat Tampa Bay 23-20 in the first round of the playoffs

• Jayden Daniels is projected to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year award

• Detroit’s defense ranks top-10 in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, and Adjusted Line Yards

After upsetting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-20 in the first round of the playoffs, the Washington Commanders hit the road for the third straight week to battle it out against the number one seed in the NFC Detroit Lions. The front runner for the Offensive Rookie of the Year award Jayden Daniels carried them to victory as he finished the contest throwing for 268 yards and 2 passing touchdowns while adding another 36 yards with his legs.

Unfortunately for Daniels, generating offensive production will be tough against Detroit as the Lions defense has been one of the more formidable units in the league this season. Even while battling through injuries at multiple levels of the field, the Lions have managed to sustain their top-10 marks in Def DVOA and EPA. Their front seven has played a major role in their success as the Lions enter the divisional round ranked near the top of the board in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, and Adjusted Line Yards.

As for where to wager on Jayden Daniels player props, BetMGM Sportsbook has an abundance of markets for their users to choose from and at very favorable odds. If you have not signed up yet with BetMGM Sportsbook, you can get up to $1,500 back in the form of bonus bets should you lose your first wager after creating an account with the WSN promo code WSNSPORTS.

Over 9.5 Rush Attempts (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Even though the Lions front seven have excelled at stopping the run as their top-10 marks in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, and Adjusted Line Yards indicates, they have not found the same success in regard to slowing down mobile quarterbacks. While the sample size is small, both Josh Allen and Anthony Richardson faced minimal resistance in their efforts of generating rush production as both quarterbacks gashed the Lions defense for over 60 rushing yards apiece.

A major reason for Detroit’s struggles stems from their inability to bring down the quarterback as the Lions currently rank near dead last in Def Adjusted Sack Rate. Their scheme makes it tough to sack quarterbacks in the pocket as they send their edge rushers on wide angles while their linebackers are tasked with plugging the gaps in the trenches. While the over on his rushing yards is tempting, back the over on his rush attempts instead as he will have plenty of scramble opportunities to help clear the total.

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Under 234.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even with the Lions secondary regressing in Def Pass Success Rate, their defensive line’s ability to to generate pressure helps lessen the amount of time the Commanders pass catchers have to break away from their coverage. This lessens the quality of Daniels passing lanes, forcing him to throw into tight windows for minimal success. With Daniels also expected to receive an uptick in rush attempts, each carry takes away a pass attempt which increases the probability of him staying under this total.

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Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+175) at BetMGM Sportsbook

When in scoring position, expect Daniels to continue to utilize his legs as generating pass production will be a struggle with the Lions defense getting the benefit of stretching out their secondary in a shortened field. This also helps limit the amount of variance that comes with throwing into heavy coverage. In a contest where the Commanders are expected to play from behind, their offense will need to maximize on the efficiency of their trips in the red zone in order to match Detroit’s pace of scoring.

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First Touchdown Scorer (+1400) at BetMGM Sportsbook

For some added excitement, also sprinkle a small wager on Daniels to be the first touchdown scorer. While the Lions marks in coverage have dipped when in the middle of the field, they still grade out well in the red zone. Utilizing Daniels in a designed run helps counter their coverage, as well as exploit their gaps in the interior. This is also a reminder to always line shop when making any type of wager as his odds to score the first touchdown can be found as high as +1400 at BetMGM and as low as +1000 at Caesars.

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Jayden Daniels Stats

• Passing Yards: 3,568

• Passing Touchdowns: 25

• Interceptions: 9

• Completion Percentage: 69.0%

• Rushing Yards: 891

• Rushing Touchdowns: 6