Seattle leads the NFC West at 7-5
Arizona is 6-6 in second in this division
The Seahawks defeated Arizona by ten in the first matchup
The Cardinals are seeking revenge after being defeated by Seattle two weeks ago. Seattle needs a victory to keep their momentum going in the NFC West. They have an excellent chance to shine against Arizona, as they have been horrendous on offense.
We expect Geno Smith to be ready to go with the NFC West on the line. With a win this week, Seattle can build a comfortable two-game lead in the division, and we’re focusing on three Geno Smith props.
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Seattle has won three straight games, and a big part of this has been Smith's quarterback play. He has thrown for 3,241 yards to go with 13 touchdowns with a passer rating of 88.9.
Smith has gone over 300 yards four times in 2024, and it could be five after this week. He is coming off a 206-yard performance against a good Jets defense one week ago.
Arizona ranks 18th against the pass, allowing 217.5 passing yards a game. They defend the pass slightly better at home than in road contests, but Smith needs to play perfectly to give Seattle a two-game cushion in the division.
Arizona does a great job of stopping the run, as they are 13th in rush defense. We expect this trend to continue, forcing Smith to win this game through the air.
Look for this game to come down to the final possession, with Smith having the ball in his hands to go over this passing yards prop.
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Smith has thrown 12 touchdown passes in 12 games. Smith has only surpassed this line twice, and we expect nothing to change in this week’s matchup.
When the Seahawks get in the red zone, they lean on their running backs to punch the ball in for six points. Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet have been reliable options close to the goal line which decreases Smith’s opportunity to go over this number.
Smith has gone under this line in three straight games, including a game against San Francisco in which he recorded no touchdown passes.
The Cardinals are seventh in the NFL in opposing red zone scoring percentage, allowing the opposing team to score touchdowns only 48.8% of the time.
With Arizona's great red zone defense, we expect Seattle to run the ball close to the goal line. Look for Smith to excel in the game, but rely on the running backs to finish drives.
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In 12 games, Smith has thrown 12 interceptions. His touchdown-to-interception ratio is almost one-to-one, which isn’t ideal for NFL quarterbacks.
He has thrown multiple interceptions in three games, including three against the Rams. DK Metcalf is questionable for this game, making Smith force the ball down the field to average receivers.
The Cardinals' defense is more than capable of putting pressure on Smith and forcing him to make bad decisions through the air.
Garrett Williams has two interceptions leading the way for Arizona on defense. We expect him and the rest of the secondary to find their way against Smith, forcing at least one turnover through the air.
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Completion Percentage: 68.8%
Passing Yards: 3,241
Touchdowns: 13
Interceptions: 12
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