Best Christian McCaffrey Prop Bets: Reigning OPOY Winner to Gash the Packers Defense on the Ground

• Christian McCaffrey won the Offensive Player of the Year award in 2023-2024

• The San Francisco 49ers are currently out of the playoff picture

• The Green Bay Packers defense ranks below league average in Def Rush Success Rate and Adjusted Line Yards

It’s been a slow start to the year for the reigning Offensive Player of the Year award winner as Christian McCaffrey is averaging just 3.7 yards per carry since making his return from injury. With the San Francisco 49ers' odds to make the playoffs and win the Super Bowl continuing to decline, McCaffrey will need to quickly round back into form as he plays a major role for their offense.

Fortunately for the star running back, McCaffrey will have the opportunity to run wild against the Green Bay Packers as their defense struggles with limiting opposing rush production when in the middle of the field. Heading into Sunday, the Packers' defense ranks well below the league average in Def Rush Success Rate and Adjusted Line Yards. The Packers also anchor their linebackers at a heavy rate, giving McCaffrey the ability to get to the second level of their defense before making contact.

As for where to wager on Christian McCaffrey player props, BetMGM Sportsbook has an abundance of markets for their users to choose from and at very favorable odds. If you have not signed up yet with BetMGM Sportsbook and are looking to get in on the action, you can get up to $1,500 back in the form of bonus bets should you lose your first wager after creating an account with the WSN promo code WSNSPORTS.

Over 72.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

While it was expected McCaffrey would be eased back into his workload after sitting out the first half of the season with an injury, it’s apparent the 49ers already plan to utilize him as much as they can after giving him 19 carries in his last game out. Against the Green Bay Packers, McCaffrey may continue to see an increase in carries as he gets the opportunity to gash a defense that ranks well below league average in Def Rush Success Rate and Def Adjusted Line Yards.

The Packers' defense also anchors their linebackers in coverage at one of the heaviest rates in the league, opening up higher-quality rushing lanes for McCaffrey to exploit after he gets past the trenches. Speaking of the trenches, the 49ers' offensive line have excelled at opening up holes for their ground game as they enter the contest ranked near the top of the board in Adjusted Line Yards. Look to escalator bet McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs.

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Under 33.5 Receiving Yards (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

With the Packers ranking 21st overall in Adjusted Sack Rate, as well as relying on their front four to generate pressure, Brock Purdy may find himself operating in a clean pocket for a majority of the contest. Especially with his offensive line continuing to excel in pass block, entering the contest ranked top-10 in Adjusted Sack Rate. This gives his pass catchers extra time in the open field to create separation from the Packers' coverage, lessening the chance Purdy needs to dump it off to McCaffrey as his safety valve.

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Anytime Touchdown / 49ers Moneyline (+165) at FanDuel Sportsbook

While Christian McCaffrey to score a touchdown at -165 is worth a wager at FanDuel Sportsbook, you can build a correlated parlay by tying in the 49ers moneyline to help cut through the juice. McCaffrey plays a major role in the 49ers offense and his red zone usage is expected to increase as he continues to get healthier since making his return from injury. Especially when the 49ers are expected to get into scoring territory at a consistent rate as the Packers rank below the league average in Def Success Rate.

As for San Francisco, they have the opportunity to secure a massive win on the road as the Packers' offense is not built to exploit the 49ers' struggles with defending against the run. Heading into Sunday, the Packers offense ranks 20th in Rush Success Rate. That indicates they struggle to cut the distance to gain on first down and convert on later downs. Should their struggles with establishing the run continue, then the Packers' offense may be prone to early outs as the 49ers also rank third overall in Def Pass DVOA.

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Christian McCaffrey 2024 Stats

• Total Rushing Yards: 118

• Total Carries: 32

• Total Rushing Touchdowns: 0

• Average Yards Per Carry: 3.7

• Total Receptions: 10

• Total Receiving Yards: 95