Best Bijan Robinson Prop Bets: Can Robinson Keep Producing for Red-Hot Falcons?

• Bijan Robinson rushed for 95 yards and two touchdowns against the Panthers last week.

• The Seahawks have conceded the fifth-most rushing yards in the NFL through six weeks.

• Bijan Robinson is averaging just under 90 total yards per game in 2024.

The inconsistency of Bijan Robinson was frustrating to watch during his rookie season and has carried over into his sophomore campaign. Granted, Robinson had 95 rushing yards and two touchdowns in Atlanta’s Week 6 win over the Panthers. But he was also missing in action late in September, making him hard to trust from one week to the next. That’s why we looked closely at Robinson’s potential prop bets for Week 7 when the Falcons host the Seahawks. 

Some of the best prop bets for Robinson this week can be found at bet365 Sportsbook. New customers at bet365 have their choice of two welcome offers. If you sign up for a new bet365 account, you can either get $200 in bonus bets just for making a $5 bet on your first wager. You also have the option of getting a safety net of up to $1,000 on your first bet, meaning if you lose your first wager, you’ll get a bonus bet equal to the amount of that bet.

Speaking of Robinson, despite his up-and-down season, he’s among the top 10 contenders for NFL Offensive Player of the Year right now. Team-wise, the Falcons look to be an interesting dark horse contender in the NFC Championship in 2024.

Bijan Robinson Over 63.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at bet365

As mentioned, Robinson has been all over the place this season. He’s rushed for over 90 yards twice but has also been held below 40 yards twice. Thus, we get an over/under that’s somewhere in the middle. But after a strong effort last week, the Falcons should have no problem riding Robinson again. He got 15 carries last week, and if he replicates that number in Week 7, his average of 4.6 yards per carry should be enough to get him close to 70 yards.

It’s also worth mentioning that the Seahawks have been one of the worst teams in the NFL at stopping the run. They are giving up five yards per carry to opposing teams. In the last three weeks - all Seattle losses - the leading rusher on the opposing team had at least 78 yards. That included games in which there was a clear split in carries, which may not be the case with Robinson. That should make it a little easier for Robinson to surpass 63.5 rushing yards.

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Bijan Robinson Over 93.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards (-115) at bet365

Between rushing and receiving, Robinson is averaging just under 90 total yards per game. However, he’s gone over 93.5 rushing and receiving yards three times in six games. In fact, he’s twice gone over that number with rushing yards alone, including last week. One could argue that the Falcons aren’t using him enough as a pass-catcher. However, Robinson is still a safe bet to collect at least three to five passes. If he can rush for at least 70 yards, getting over 93.5 rushing and receiving yards shouldn’t be a problem.

Given Seattle’s struggles stopping the run lately, it’s not out of the question that Robinson could put together another 90-yard rushing performance. In fairness, the Seahawks haven’t allowed running backs to hurt them in the passing game. However, Robinson is a bigger part of Atlanta’s passing game than most backs. Also, there is a good chance Robinson may not need that many yards as a receiver to get beyond 93.5 total yards, making this another prop that favors Robinson.

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Bijan Robinson Longest Rushing Attempt Over 16.5 Yards  (-115) at bet365

This is far from a straightforward prop bet because long runs are an area where Robinson has struggled this year. He can get tough yards between the trenches but doesn’t always break out for long runs. That being said, Robinson has managed a run of at least 17 yards in three of his six games, which explains why his longest rushing attempt prop sits at 16.5 yards this week.

The key to this bet is once again the Seattle defense. Not only have the Seahawks given up a lot of yards on the ground over the last three weeks, but they are also giving up long-running plays. In those three games, four running backs have had a run of at least 20 yards against the Seattle defense. In fact, four of the five running backs to get meaningful carries against the Seahawks during that span have recorded a run of at least 20 yards at some point. That’s a strong indicator that Robinson can do the same this week.

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Bijan Robinson 2024 Stats

After Week 6, here are Bijan Robinson’s current stats:

• Carries: 82

• Yards: 380

• Yards per carry: 4.6

• Rushing touchdowns: 3

• Receptions: 21

• Receiving yards: 161

• Receiving touchdowns: 0

• Fumbles: 0