Best AJ Brown Prop Bets: Trouble Brewing in Philadelphia

• AJ Brown has recently told reporters that he is frustrated with Philadelphia’s passing game

• The Philadelphia Eagles are in first place in the NFC East division standings

• The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has steadily regressed in Def Pass Success Rate

Even at 11-2 and in first place in the NFC East division standings, it has been anything but smooth sailing for the Philadelphia Eagles as of late. Over the past few days, AJ Brown has gone on the record to say he has been frustrated with the Eagles passing game while Brandon Graham hinted that there has been an issue between the star wide receiver and their quarterback Jalen Hurts. 

While everything is speculation at this point, AJ Brown and Jalen Hurts will need to quickly get on the same page should they want to secure the win over the Pittsburgh Steelers and remain in contention for the number one overall seed in the NFC Standings. Fortunately for the Eagles, the Steelers secondary has steadily regressed when in the middle of the field as they have dropped down to 15th overall in Def Pass Success Rate while their front line ranks well below league average in Def Adjusted Sack Rate.

As for where to wager on AJ Brown’s player props, BetMGM Sportsbook has a wide range of markets for their users to choose from and at very favorable odds when compared to the rest of the mobile apps. If you have not signed up yet with BetMGM Sportsbook and are looking to get in on the action, you can get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets should you lose your first wager after creating an account with the WSN promo code WSNSPORTS.

Over 76.5 Receiving Yards (-120) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Normally a team known for their vaunted defense, the Pittsburgh Steelers have taken a step back this season as their metrics are shockingly average at best in some areas. Especially when in the middle of the field as the Steelers rank just league average or worse in Def Rush and Pass Success Rate. That indicates Pittsburgh’s defense struggles to stop opposing offenses from cutting the distance to gain in half on first and second down, as well as converting on later downs.

With the Steelers linebackers having to cheat up in an attempt to mask their lack of Def Rush Success Rate to help slow down Saquon Barkley, AJ Brown and the Eagles pass catchers may find themselves with more single coverage opportunities and room to work with across the middle. Philadelphia’s offense may also receive an uptick in their number of possessions while the Steelers continue to struggle with generating offensive production, potentially leading to more targets for Brown to help clear the over.

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Longest Reception Under 26.5 Yards (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even though Brown is in a position to rack up yards by picking apart the Steelers gaps in coverage, generating explosiveness may be an issue. Especially with Jalen Hurts expected to be under duress for a majority of the contest as the Steelers rank in the top half of the board in Pressure Rate while the Eagles offensive line ranks near dead last in Adjusted Sack Rate. Expect an uptick in short throws at the expense of deep shots to help counter the pressure, increasing the likelihood of Brown staying under this total.

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Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+150) at FanDuel Sportsbook

As previously mentioned, the Steelers linebackers may opt into the idea of cheating up to the line in an attempt to slow down Saquon Barkley, opening up wider gaps in coverage for Brown to exploit. With both Barkley and Hurts serving as the focal points of the offense when in the red zone, expect the Steelers to remain heavy in the box. This gives the Eagles pass catchers more room to help create separation from the Steelers tightened coverage, increasing the quality of Hurts passing lanes in the process.

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First Touchdown Scorer (+750) at Caesars Sportsbook

On top of betting Brown to score a touchdown, sprinkle some pizza money on him to be the first touchdown scorer as well. When comparing the two offenses, Philadelphia is in a far better position to get into scoring territory as the Steelers will find it tough to consistently move the ball against an Eagles defense who ranks in the top half of the board in Def DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, Adjusted Sack Rate, and Adjusted Line Yards.

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AJ Brown 2024 Stats

• Total Receiving Yards: 836

• Total Receiving Touchdowns: 4

• Total Receptions: 48

• Average Yards per Reception: 17.4

• Average Receiving Yards per game: 83.6