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Bears vs. Packers Picks, Predictions & Player Props: The Packers Seek the No. 6 Seed

Published January 4, 2025
7 min read
  • Bears quarterback Caleb Williams has been sacked 67 times

  • The Bears offensive line allowed 20 pressures in Week 17

  • The Packers have 44 sacks this season, tied for fifth-most in the NFL

The 11-5 Green Bay Packers will host the 4-12 Chicago Bears in Week 18 of the NFL season. The Packers are third in the NFC North, while the Bears are last. 

Below are the odds for this game, my best bet, predictions, and best player props.

Bears vs. Packers Odds

Look below for the moneyline, point spread, and total odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Using our exclusive link and promo code WSNDYW, you’ll get your next 10 bets doubled in winnings after betting $1.

Caesars MoneylineCaesars Point SpreadCaesars Totals
Bears: +360Bears: +10 (-110)Over 44: -110
Packers: -480Packers: -10 (-110)Under 44: -110
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Bears vs. Packers Predictions and Prop Bets

Bears vs. Packers: My Pick

The Bears have looked atrocious over their last four games, topping out at 17 points. In Week 17, they scored just three and lost 6-3. Quarterback Caleb Williams was pressured 20 times, hit twice, and sacked once. 

Two offensive linemen, Teven Jenkins and Larry Borom, are questionable to play in this game. 

The Packers are also dealing with several injuries, but this Bears offensive line is impossible to trust.

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Bears vs. Packers Predictions 

As we head into Week 18, the Packers are tied for the fifth-most sacks this season with 44. 

This bodes well against a Bears offensive line that has allowed a staggering 196 pressures and 67 sacks. 

Yes, Williams has been sacked 67 times. He’s nine away from the single-season record of 76. 

The Bears allowed 20 pressures last week, and the offense couldn’t function against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 17. 

Williams completed 16 of 28 passes for 122 yards (4.4 yards per attempt) and threw his sixth interception of the season. 

The Packers are also third in turnovers this season, with 12. Although Williams has only six picks, he has 18 turnover-worthy plays. 

Looking at the Bears defense, they’ve allowed six rushing touchdowns to running backs over the last four games and now have the task of slowing down Josh Jacobs. 

He’s scored in seven straight games. He’s posted 11 in that span. He’s not the most efficient runner but gets in the end zone. 

They’ve also allowed eight passing touchdowns over the last five games. 

I’m just not sure how the Bears will get anything going on offense in this game. Their offensive line is atrocious, they have virtually no running game, and haven’t scored more than 17 points since they fired head coach Matt Eberflus following Thanksgiving. 

As for playoff implications, if the Packers win and the Washington Commanders lose, the Packers will get the No. 6 seed and be on the road against either the Tampa Bay Buccaneers or Los Angeles Rams as opposed to the Philadelphia Eagles. 

This is going to be a route.

Bears vs. Packers Best Player Props

Josh Jacobs Anytime TD (-160) at Caesars Sportsbook

This season, Jacobs has 15 total touchdowns, including 14 rushing. He’s scored in each of his last seven games, totaling 11 rushing scores in that span. 

At home, he’ll take on a Bears defense that’s given up six rushing touchdowns over their last four games, and they’re surrendering an average of one per game. 

Running backs average 4.83 yards per carry and 116 rushing yards per game. 

I’d be shocked if he didn’t score.

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D’Andre Swift Under 47.5 Rushing Yards (-125) at Caesars Sportsbook

It’s been rough for the Bears rushing attack this season, which is led by Swift. 

He has 233 carries for 894 yards (3.8 yards per carry) and five touchdowns. He’s run for 47 yards or less in four of his last six games. 

The Packers haven’t allowed a running back to reach 48 yards in either of the last two games. 

Swift had 71 in their first matchup, but I simply cannot trust this line with the lack of an offensive line.

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Caleb Williams Under 0.5 TDs (+178) at Caesars Sportsbook

Getting odds of +178, I’m willing to roll the dice on this. 

Williams is coming off a game with no passing touchdowns, and he’s had zero in seven games this season. 

The Packers are coming off a game where they allowed three, but that was against a much different team, the Minnesota Vikings. 

They didn’t allow a passing touchdown in the two games prior. 

Again, I go back to the Bears offensive line against this Packers pass rush. Williams managed just 4.4 yards per attempt last week and completed 57.1% of his passes. 

I don’t think it’ll end well for the rookie signal-caller as the Bears enter the offseason, looking for their next head coach.

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Bears vs. Packers: How to Watch

  • When: Sunday, Jan. 5 at 1:00 PM ET

  • Where: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI

  • Where to Watch: FOX

Bears vs. Packers Best Promos and Sportsbooks

If you’re looking for the best odds for the Bears vs. Packers matchup or any other Week 18 NFL game, check out our top recommended NFL betting sites. Caesars Sportsbook is easily one of my favorite sportsbooks. It always has player props on the market quickly and the odds are more than competitive.

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Bears vs. Packers Injuries

Bears Injuries

  • Bears guard Larry Borom is questionable with an illness

  • Bears safety Elijah Hicks is questionable with an ankle/foot injury

  • Bears running back Travis Homer is questionable with a hamstring injury

  • Bears offensive tackle Teven Jenkins is questionable with a calf injury

  • Bears wide receiver Rome Odunze is questionable with an illness

Packers Injuries

  • Packers cornerback Jaire Alexander is questionable with a knee injury

  • Packers safety Zayne Anderson is questionable with a concussion

  • Packers defensive lineman Brenton Cox Jr. is questionable with a foot injury

  • Packers offensive tackle Andre Dillard is questionable with a concussion

  • Packers linebacker Quay Walker is questionable with an ankle injury

  • Packers wide receiver Christian Watson is questionable with a knee injury

  • Packers safety Evan Williams is questionable with a quad injury

More NFL Week 18 Bets and Picks

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Richard Janvrin

Richard Janvrin

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of English/ Journalism
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