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Bears vs. Jaguars Picks, Predictions & Player Props: Caleb Williams Breaking Out

Written by: Richard Janvrin
Published October 12, 2024
7 min read
  • The Jaguars haven’t intercepted a single pass this season.

  • Bears quarterback Caleb Williams has thrown for 304 yards or more in two of his last three games. 

  • Jaguars running back Tank Bigsby appears to be in line to start this game. He had 13 carries for over 100 yards and two touchdowns in Week 5. 

The Chicago Bears and Jacksonville Jaguars square off in London for Week 6 of the NFL season.  The Jaguars are 1-4 this season, while the Bears are 3-2. Below are the odds for this game, my pick, predictions, and best player props. 

Bears vs. Jaguars Odds 

Look below for the moneyline, point spread, and total odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. By using our exclusive FanDuel sign-up link, you can get $300 in bonus bets when you win a $5 bet. 

Team Moneyline Points Spread Total
Jacksonville Jaguars +110 +1.5 (-105) Over 44.5 (-110)
Chicago Bears -130 -1.5 (-115) Under 44.5 (-110)

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Bears vs Jaguars Predictions and Prop Bets

Bears vs. Jaguars Pick

We have a game in London for the second week in a row. 

The Jaguars are a team that’s used to playing in London, but here, they take on a Bears team that’s seen massive improvements from quarterback Caleb Williams. He’s thrown for 300-plus yards in two of the last three games. 

The Jaguars allow nearly 300 passing yards and two touchdowns per game and don’t have a single interception this season. 

The Bears will have too much offense for the Jaguars in this one. 

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Bears vs. Jaguars Predictions 

As mentioned, Williams’s play has improved lately. Over his last three games, he’s thrown for 304 yards or more twice and has just two interceptions. 

In Week 5, his yards per attempt was up to 10.5, which was a single-game high. 

This game came against the Carolina Panthers, but the Jaguars are one of the worst defenses in the league. 

The Jaguars are allowing close to 26 completions per game for almost 300 yards and two passing touchdowns. They haven’t had a single interception all season. 

Opposing quarterbacks have also run for 22 yards or more in three of five games this season. 

Running backs only average 3.81 yards per carry, but the Bears have a running back, D’Andre Swift, who's an excellent pass-catcher, and the Jaguars struggle against those.

This season, running backs are averaging close to seven catches for 57 yards per game. 

As for the Jaguars offense, they’ll take on a Bears defense, allowing less than 195 passing yards per game. They’ve also only allowed two passing touchdowns and have six interceptions. 

The Jaguars' best shot is running the ball. The Bears allow 4.97 yards per carry over 100 rushing yards and a touchdown per game.

Running back Travis Etienne’s status is up in the air ahead of this game. If he sits, Tank Bigsby will get the start. 

He had 13 carries for 101 yards and two touchdowns against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 5. 

While the Jaguars could exploit the Bears defense, it’s only via the run. I don’t think the Jaguars passing attack will be able to do much. 

The Bears offense has a lot of firepower, including three excellent receivers, an improving quarterback, and a stable of running backs who can run and catch. 

Look for the Bears to win in London. 

Bears vs. Jaguars Best Player Props

The following prop bets are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Using promo code WSN1000 during account creation at Caesars, you’ll get your first wager back if it loses up to $1,000.

Let’s check out some prop bets. 

Caleb Williams 2+ Passing Touchdowns (+100 at Caesars Sportsbook)

I mentioned it a couple of times already, but the Jaguars pass defense simply cannot stop anyone. In a season where passing statistics are down across the NFL, the Jaguars still allow two passing touchdowns and almost 300 yards per game. 

The Jaguars have allowed two passing touchdowns or more in each of their last three games.

The Jaguars also have trouble against pass-catching running backs. Against receivers, they allow over 210 yards and a touchdown per game.

The spread in this game is close enough to where I think passing throughout will be in the game script. Williams showed in Week 5 that he can reach two passing touchdowns with less than 30 attempts. 

Get this prop at +100. 

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Trevor Lawrence Over 0.5 Interceptions (-139 at Caesars Sportsbook)

Coming in at -139, I’ll lean over on the interceptions for Lawrence. 

He’s been avoiding interceptions with just two this season, though they’ve come in the last three games, including Week 5. 

According to Pro Football Focus, Lawrence has six turnover-worthy plays, meaning he’s gotten away with some errant throws. 

The Bears have at least one interception in every game except Week 2 this season. 

Lawrence has been able to get by with minimal turnovers, but he’ll have another this week against a stout Bears defense. 

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D’Andre Swift Over 16.5 Receiving Yards (-121 at Caesars Sportsbook)

This season, Swift has seen 19 targets and has caught 15 of them for 165 yards. 

In Week 5, he caught two passes for 47 yards. 

In Week 4, he had seven catches for 72 yards. 

Swift has gone over this 16.5 number in each of the last four games and takes on a Jaguars defense that allows nearly seven receptions for 57 yards against opposing running backs. 

Look for Swift to sail way over this number.

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Bears vs. Jaguars How to Watch

  • When: Sunday, Oct. 13 at 9:30 AM ET

  • Where: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England

  • Where to Watch: NFL Network

Bears vs. Jaguars Best Promos and Sportsbooks

If you’re looking for the best odds for the Bears vs. Jaguars matchup or any other Week 6 NFL game, check out our curated list of the best NFL betting sites. As you can see above, I like both FanDuel and Caesars. FanDuel has a fantastic welcome offer, while Caesars always has an exciting collection of player prop bets. 

More currently available NFL betting promos are listed in the table below.

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Bears vs. Jaguars Injuries

  • Bears cornerback Terell Smith is out for Week 6 with a hip injury. 

  • Bears defensive tackle Zacch Pickens is out for Week 6 with a groin injury. 

  • Bears safety Jaquan Brisker appears unlikely to play after not traveling with the team to London. On Monday, he was experiencing concussion symptoms. 

  • Bears guard Teven Jenkins is questionable with an ankle injury. He left the Week 5 game early. 

  • Jaguars safety Daniel Thomas is questionable. 

  • Jaguars linebacker Yasir Abdullah is questionable. 

  • Jaguars wide receiver Devin Duvernay is questionable with a lower-body injury. 

  • Jaguars running back Travis Etienne is questionable with a shoulder injury. 

  • Jaguars tight end Evan Engram is questionable with a hamstring injury, but head coach Doug Pederson is optimistic he’ll be able to play.

More NFL Week 6 Picks and Bets

Sunday Night Football Week 6 Picks

Sunday Night Football Week 6 Prop Bets

Sunday Night Football Week 6 Same Game Parlay

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Richard Janvrin

Richard Janvrin

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLB
NFL
NCAAB
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of English/ Journalism
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 9 years
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