Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions Week 18: Target a Pair of Vikings Pass Catchers for Sunday’s Slate

• Minnesota is just one win away from winning the NFC North division title

• The Detroit Lions secondary continues to fall down the board in Def Pass Success Rate

• The Dallas Cowboys rank near dead last in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, and Adjusted Line Yards

The stakes are high on Sunday night as the winner between the Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings will secure the NFC North division title and the top overall seed in the NFC standings. Unfortunately for Detroit, they will be without their best corner Carlton Davis as he is still out with an injury. That shines the spotlight on the Vikings' pass catchers as they will have the opportunity to consistently exploit Detroit’s gaps in coverage while the Lions shade their safeties toward Justin Jefferson.

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Brian Robinson Jr. Anytime Touchdown (-123) at Caesars Sportsbook

After Austin Ekeler went down with an injury, Brian Robinson Jr has seen his workload steadily increase as he transitioned into being the Washington Commanders three down back. In their season finale, Robinson will have the opportunity to run wild as he faces off against a Dallas Cowboys front seven who ranks near dead last in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, and Adjusted Line Yards. Robinson may also see an uptick in rush attempts should the Commanders preserve Daniels for the playoffs.

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Bucky Irving Anytime Touchdown (-170) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Vikings and Lions are not the only game with division title implications as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers can secure the NFC South division title with a win over the New Orleans Saints. In order to secure the win, the Bucs should call Bucky Irving’s number at a heavier rate as the Saints' front seven has arguably been one of the worst units in the league. Heading into Sunday, the Saints' defense ranks 31st in Def Rush DVOA, 30th in Def Rush EPA, and 30th in Def Rush Success Rate.

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Josh Jacobs Anytime Touchdown (-145) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Should the Commanders lose to the Cowboys, then the Green Bay Packers will have the opportunity to leap over them for the sixth seed and avoid playing the Philadelphia Eagles in the first round of the playoffs. Against Chicago, expect the Packers to rely on their ground game when in scoring position as the Bears' secondary has quietly played very well this season. This allows the Packers to counter the Bears coverage while attacking their front seven who ranks near dead last in Def Rush EPA.

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Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime Touchdown (+140) at Caesars Sportsbook 

Even though the Seattle Seahawks have nothing to play for, that should not stop their offense from getting into the red zone at a consistent rate as they face off against the underwhelming Los Angeles Rams defense. Limiting offensive production has been a struggle for the Rams' defense this season as they currently rank below league average in Def DVOA and EPA. With Jaxon Smith-Njigba carving out a role as a reliable red zone target, expect the emerging star wide receiver to score in the Seahawks season finale.

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Jordan Addison Anytime Touchdown (+190) at Caesars Sportsbook 

As previously mentioned, the Vikings' pass catchers will have a great opportunity to score as they face off against the Lions' injury-riddled secondary. With their shut down corner Carlton Davis still out with an injury, the Lions safeties will have to shade their coverage towards Justin Jefferson in an attempt to slow him down. This opens the door for Jordan Addison to generate an explosive play when in single coverage as he blitzes through a Lions back end who continues to regress in Def Pass Success Rate.

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TJ Hockenson Anytime Touchdown (+200) at BetMGM Sportsbook 

Like Addison, TJ Hockenson may also receive an uptick in targets as he exploits the higher quality passing lanes that the Lions underwhelming linebackers create when scrambled in coverage. Since returning from injury, Hockenson is averaging nearly one red zone target per game. That total is poised to increase should the Lions outside linebackers stretch towards Jefferson which opens up wider gaps across the middle.

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