Josh Allen is currently the heavy betting favorite to win the MVP award
Ja’Marr Chase leads the league in receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns
The Dallas Cowboys front seven ranks near dead last in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate
In a 48-42 victory over the Detroit Lions, Josh Allen potentially locked up the NFL MVP award as he finished the contest with 362 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns, and 2 rushing touchdowns. With New England on deck, Allen has the opportunity to continue to dominate as the Patriots' defense struggles at every level of the field. Allen isn’t the only quarterback poised for a big outing as the Philadelphia Eagles Jalen Hurts gets a favorable matchup against the Washington Commanders and their weak front seven.
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While the Los Angeles Chargers secondary has maintained their high marks in coverage, their front seven has continued to regress as they enter the contest ranked below league average in Def Rush DVOA and Adjusted Line Yards. That bodes well for the Denver Broncos' running back Javonte Williams as he will have the opportunity to churn out extra yards past the trenches for a potential score. Especially with the Chargers anchoring their linebackers in coverage at a heavy rate, giving Williams more room to work with.
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With Kansas City’s front seven excelling at stopping the run, the Houston Texans may revert to a heavier dose of the pass when in scoring position to take advantage of the Chiefs' low marks in Def Pass EPA and Success Rate. That may lead to an uptick in targets for his big bodied receiver Nico Collins, increasing the chances of him hauling in a reception for a score. To pair along with Collins, also place a wager on Tank Dell to score as the two are nearly even in red zone targets.
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After failing to find the end zone in last week's contest against the Tennessee Titans, Ja’Marr Chase will have the opportunity to bounce back against the Cleveland Browns as their secondary's production drops off when backed up into the red zone. Even with Tee Higgins lined up on the opposite side, Chase still comfortably leads the team in red zone targets. Factor in a potential uptick in possessions while the Browns cycle through their quarterbacks and Chase will have multiple opportunities to haul one in.
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While Washington’s offense has gone through a resurgence, their defense has yet to match their level of production as they continue to underwhelm. Especially in regard to stopping the run as the Commanders rank below league average in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate. Not only will Jalen Hurts have the opportunity to score on a designed run, but his offensive line’s inability to hold their ground in pass sets may also force him into a scrambling situation for a potential score as well.
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Arguably no one is on more of a heater than the Buffalo Bills Josh Allen as his odds to win the MVP award continue to astronomically grow. Heading into Sunday, Allen has the opportunity to put together another dominant performance as he faces off against a New England Patriots defense who ranks in the bottom half of the board in Def DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, and Pressure Rate. Their lack of defensive production will lead to more trips in the red zone, increasing the chances of Allen running in for a score.
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Even with Bucky Irving still splitting duties with Rachaad White, the Bucs' rookie running back has been more heavily involved when their offense is in scoring position as he comfortably leads the team in carries inside the 20. Irving will find himself with a great opportunity to score this Sunday as he faces off against a Dallas Cowboys front seven who ranks near dead last across the board in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, and Adjusted Line Yards.
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Best Josh Allen Prop Bets: Expect Another MVP Level Performance Against the Patriots
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