Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Divisional Round: Lions in a Position to Thrive

• The Detroit Lions are listed as the betting favorite to win the Super Bowl

• The Lions Amon-Ra St Brown comfortably leads the team in red zone targets

• Washington’s defense ranks 20th in Def Pass DVOA and 22nd in EPA

Where to wager on the divisional round slate of anytime touchdown scorers?

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Throughout the regular season, the Detroit Lions offense routinely blitzed through opposing defenses while lighting up the scoreboard. Their high level of play has helped them build a strong case for being listed as the betting favorite to win the Super Bowl. On Saturday, their explosive pass attack will be on full display as they face off against a severely underwhelming Washington Commanders secondary who ranks well below league average in Def Pass DVOA and EPA.

Nico Collins Anytime Touchdown (+190) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After grading out very well in coverage earlier in the year, the Kansas City Chiefs secondary have steadily regressed as they limp into their matchup against Houston ranked 17th in Def Pass DVOA, 15th in EPA, and 17th in Success Rate. Their blitz-heavy scheme leaves their corners on islands which simultaneously increases the quality of CJ Stroud’s passing lanes. When under pressure, expect Stroud to lean on his big-bodied receiver Nico Collins who can burn any single coverage he receives.

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Amon-Ra St Brown Anytime Touchdown (-130) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Lions' pass attack has been a well-oiled machine this year as they currently rank top-6 in Pass DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate. Amon-Ra St Brown has played a major role in their high marks as he consistently exploits the gaps in coverage while streaking across the middle. When in the red zone, he continues to be the focal point of the offense as he leads the team with 31 red zone targets. Expect Goff to continue to lean on him as he picks apart a secondary who grades out poorly in coverage.

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Sam LaPorta Anytime Touchdown (+145) at BetMGM Sportsbook

With the Lions offense in a position to routinely move the ball down the field, their pass catchers will potentially see an increase in red zone targets to help haul one in for six. Should the Commanders shade their safeties towards Amon-Ra, or stack the box to slow down Jahmyr Gibbs, then that creates wider gaps in coverage for Sam LaPorta to exploit. Washington’s defense already struggles to hold their own when inside the 20 as the Commanders rank 20th in Def Pass DVOA and 22nd in EPA.

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Jayden Daniels Anytime Touchdown (+175) at FanDuel Sportsbook

On the other side of the field, the Commanders' best path for success resides on the legs of their star rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels. The Lions' defense generates horizontal pressure off the edges while relying on their linebackers to plug the gaps in the trenches, leaving them prone to getting beat by mobile quarterbacks up the middle. Daniels may also be used in designed runs at a heavier rate to combat against their stretched-out coverage when in the red zone, increasing the chances of him scoring.

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Jalen Hurts Anytime Touchdown (-120) at FanDuel Sportsbook 

Keeping the theme on mobile quarterbacks, Jalen Hurts will have plenty of opportunities to punch one in as Philadelphia’s offense is poised to get into the red zone at a consistent rate. The Los Angeles Rams have struggled to defend at every level of the field this season as their defense enters the contest ranked well below league average in Def DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate. This increases the chances of the Eagles getting near the goal line where points are near automatic in the form of a tush push.

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Mark Andrews Anytime Touchdown (+175) at BetMGM Sportsbook 

To cap off the divisional round, the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills battle it out in what should be an exciting contest from start to finish. Unfortunately for Buffalo, their secondary has steadily regressed throughout the year and are prone to getting picked apart by the front-runner for the MVP award Lamar Jackson and the revamped Ravens pass attack. With Zay Flowers playing less than 100%, expect Lamar to lean on his safety blanket Mark Andrews as he currently leads the team in red zone targets. 

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