AFC East Odds, Predictions, Betting Picks 2024: Bills Inching Closer to Clinching

• The Bills have one win over a team with a record over .500

• The Dolphins, Jets, and Patriots all have three wins

• The Jets lost 31-6 to the Cardinals in Week 10

The AFC East race may be the worst in the NFL. The Buffalo Bills continue to dominate and have built a massive lead. The New York Jets, New England Patriots, and Miami Dolphins all have three wins, meaning this race could be over in the next few weeks.

Below, we will share our thoughts on each team and our pick to win. The odds will be from BetMGM Sportsbook, which offers new players who sign up using promo code WSNSPORTS up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets.

Discover our Ride the Line podcast, where Grant and Tanner discuss each team’s chances of winning the AFC East.

AFC East Odds

Odds taken from BetMGM Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below and claim the bonus at BetMGM: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*
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2024 AFC East Predictions and Favorites to Win

Buffalo Bills (-10000) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Bills are the only team worth betting on in the AFC East, though we remain skeptical of their chances to make Super Bowl LIX. The team has beaten up on a lot of bad teams, with all but one win coming against teams that currently own a sub-.500 record. Their two losses came against good teams in the Ravens and Texans, sending up a red flag as we head into the final seven weeks.

We will learn much about this Buffalo team over the next four weeks. The division leader will face the Chiefs, Niners, Rams, and Lions. While a rough run could tighten this division race up, the Bills will be able to secure it as they face the Pats (twice) and Jets over the final three weeks. 

If there is one thing to watch this season, it is the play of the Buffalo defense. While they aren’t allowing many points, they are giving up far too many yards. That hasn’t been a problem against bad teams, but it will as the team’s schedule gets more difficult. 

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Miami Dolphins (+10000) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Dolphins left LA with a massive win against the Rams. They faced a healthy and talented offense but held them to just 15 points. The Miami defense had allowed at least 28 points in three consecutive games heading into their Week 10 game against LA, giving fans hope that the unit may finally be turning things around.

The good news for Miami is that five of their final eight games this season. Unfortunately, their ugly start to the season has dug them into a large hole. Five wins won’t be enough to catch the Bills, even if they lose all their remaining games. 

The Dolphins could prove to be a dangerous wild-card team, but their hopes for a division title are over.

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New York Jets (+15000) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Any momentum the Jets’ gained from their Week 9 win over the Texans was snuffed out in Week 10. New York was blown out by Arizona, who cruised to a 31-6 victory. Once again, things were terrible on both sides of the ball, showing just how extensive the team’s problems are. With New York already trailing the Bills by five games, their chances for an AFC East title will likely officially end over the next few weeks.

The Jets have changed coaches, added Davante Adams, and got Haason Reddick to end his holdout. That is about all this franchise could have done to support the expensive team, but each effort has fallen flat. There is no reason to believe that will change with seven games remaining.

While it has become clear that Rodgers is not able to function behind the bad New York offensive line, don’t expect them to make a move. The 40-year-old’s contract carries a brutal cap hit if they release him, so the best New York fans can hope for is that Rodgers retires at the end of the season.

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New England Patriots (+30000) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Don’t look now, but the Patriots have won two of their previous three games. The lone loss came in overtime to the Titans in Week 9 but was followed by a 19-3 shellacking of the Bears in Chicago. New England held the Bears to just 142 yards and finished with nine sacks and 13 QB hits.

The Bears' offense has completely fallen apart, making it hard to give the Pats’ defense too much credit. However, it is now clear that Drake Maye is the future of this franchise. The rookie is still developing, but the offense has looked far better with him at the helm. The quarterback’s ability to damage his arm and legs makes him hard to defend, leading to some impressive state lines.

The Pats won’t be a playoff team this season, much less a contender for the AFC East, but the future appears to be bright.

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AFC East Winner - My Pick

Buffalo Bills (-10000) at BetMGM Sportsbook 

Take away all the talent, coaching, and intangibles, and you can see why we are sticking with the Bills despite their price. They have built a large lead over the other three teams, none of which have won more than three games. The Bills have a difficult schedule remaining but will only need one or two more wins to clinch. 

As long as Josh Allen is healthy, nothing will stop this team from capturing another division title this winter.

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Previous AFC East Winners

The New England Patriots have dominated this division, but their downfall has left it up for grabs. 

Below are the last ten teams to win the AFC East:

How to Read NFL Future Odds

NFL futures odds work the same as any other bet. Each bet includes a number following the team or player, preceded by a plus or minus sign. 

A plus sign before the number usually indicates an underdog, which is common with futures bets. If the odds next to a team or player have a plus sign, that is the amount that you will win for every $100 you bet.

A minus sign usually indicates the favorite to win, though they are rarely seen for future bets. A minus sign in front of the odds means that is how much you need to bet to win $100.

For example, you bet $100 on the Broncos +350 to win the AFC West. If they win the division, you will win $350. 

If you aren't looking to bet $100 at a time, don't worry! Check out our odds calculator to help you determine potential winnings based on different wager amounts.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the AFC East

Are you ready to start betting on the AFC East but unsure where to start? If so, we have you covered with our sportsbook reviews. Below is a comparison between some of the industry’s best NFL sportsbooks.

*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.